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Licata vs Siracusa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Licata host Siracusa in the Serie D - Group I. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Siracusa have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Licata have conceded 1.68 and scored 1.11. Head-to-head, Licata have won 0 to Siracusa's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 30, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.44, favoring Siracusa. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Licata
30%
Draws
27%
Siracusa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Licata have managed 1.11 goals a game lately — Siracusa are scoring more at 1.4.
  • Win probability leans Licata's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Siracusa have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Licata Clean Sheet 16%
Siracusa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Licata Siracusa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Siracusa
0:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Licata
1:0
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Siracusa
0:5
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Siracusa vs Licata
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Licata 66 / 100
Siracusa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Licata Siracusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Licata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Siracusa conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Licata stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Licata scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Licata VS Siracusa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Licata

(Home)
07 Oct
Trapani
1 : 2
Licata
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
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Siracusa

(Away)
04 Oct
Milazzo
1 : 0
Siracusa
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)