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Licata vs USD Ragusa

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ejjaki Y.
24' Event
Minacori C.
29' Event
Crisci C.

AI Match Summary

USD Ragusa in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored USD Ragusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Licata
30%
Draws
35%
USD Ragusa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Licata haven't matched USD Ragusa's recent run of results.
  • Licata are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Licata Clean Sheet 19%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Licata USD Ragusa
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 9
Draws 4 13
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.59 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs USD Ragusa
1:4
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Licata
3:0
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs USD Ragusa
2:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Licata
2:1
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs USD Ragusa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Minacori C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

USD Ragusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ejjaki Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Crisci C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Licata 42 / 100
USD Ragusa 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Licata USD Ragusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Licata found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: USD Ragusa conceded in 59% of 34 recent games.

Licata went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS USD Ragusa
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Licata

(Home)
11 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 0
Licata
04 May
Nissa
3 : 2
Licata
27 Apr
Licata
3 : 0
Pompei
17 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 0
Licata
13 Apr
Licata
2 : 3
Paterno
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USD Ragusa

(Away)
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
ACR Messina
03 May
USD Ragusa
1 : 2
Athletic Palermo
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
19 Apr
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
Sancataldese
12 Apr
ACR Messina
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)