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Licata vs USD Ragusa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ejjaki Y.
24' Event
Minacori C.
29' Event
Crisci C.

AI Match Summary

USD Ragusa in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored USD Ragusa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Licata
20%
Draws
6%
USD Ragusa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Licata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • USD Ragusa haven't matched Licata's recent run of results.
  • Licata are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Licata Clean Sheet 68%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Licata USD Ragusa
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 12
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.11 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.68 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs USD Ragusa
1:0
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs USD Ragusa
1:4
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Licata
3:0
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs USD Ragusa
2:0
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Licata
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Minacori C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

USD Ragusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Ejjaki Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Crisci C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Licata 95 / 100
USD Ragusa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Licata USD Ragusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Licata Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Licata remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Licata's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: USD Ragusa conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Licata VS USD Ragusa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Licata

(Home)
07 Oct
Trapani
1 : 2
Licata
04 Oct
Licata
2 : 1
Sambiase
26 Sept
Enna
0 : 3
Licata
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
Castrumfavara
1 : 1
Licata
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USD Ragusa

(Away)
04 Oct
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)