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Lichtenberg vs Altludersdorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019 game between Lichtenberg and Altludersdorf finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lichtenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lichtenberg
15%
Draws
54%
Altludersdorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altludersdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lichtenberg come out ahead of Altludersdorf on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Altludersdorf taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Lichtenberg have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lichtenberg Clean Sheet 20%
Altludersdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lichtenberg Altludersdorf
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.24 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.62 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2019 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs Altludersdorf
2:0
Sep 23, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Altludersdorf vs Lichtenberg
1:2
May 9, 2018 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Altludersdorf vs Lichtenberg
2:1
Sep 30, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenberg vs Altludersdorf
3:0
Apr 9, 2017 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Altludersdorf vs Lichtenberg
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lichtenberg 28 / 100
Altludersdorf 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lichtenberg Altludersdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altludersdorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lichtenberg found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Altludersdorf conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Lichtenberg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lichtenberg VS Altludersdorf
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lichtenberg

(Home)
13 Sept
Stendal
1 : 0
Lichtenberg
30 Aug
Lichtenberg
2 : 0
Hertha Zehlendorf
16 Aug
Klosterfelde
2 : 1
Lichtenberg
08 Aug
Lichtenberg
3 : 2
TSG Neustrelitz
18 Jul
Lichtenberg
1 : 1
Dresden II
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Altludersdorf

(Away)
18 Jul
Berliner AK 07
4 : 1
Altludersdorf
08 Jun
Altludersdorf
3 : 2
Torgelower Greif
02 Jun
CFC Hertha
2 : 5
Altludersdorf
19 May
Altludersdorf
4 : 1
Strausberg
10 May
TB Berlin
1 : 3
Altludersdorf
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lichtenberg 30 23 5 2 69:12 74
2 TB Berlin 30 21 4 5 76:27 67
3 Greifswalder FC 30 18 5 7 67:44 59
4 Hertha Zehlendorf 30 16 7 7 64:33 55
5 Hansa Rostock II 30 16 7 7 69:39 55
6 Blau Weiss Berlin 30 13 5 12 58:39 44
7 Altludersdorf 30 13 2 15 50:61 41
8 SC Staaken 30 10 8 12 56:52 38
9 Torgelower Greif 30 10 8 12 44:48 38
10 TSG Neustrelitz 30 10 7 13 37:46 37
11 CFC Hertha 30 12 1 17 45:67 37
12 Stendal 30 11 2 17 42:72 35
13 Strausberg 30 10 3 17 42:64 33
14 Brandenburger 30 9 5 16 52:64 32
15 Wismar 30 8 8 14 25:47 32
16 Malchower 30 1 1 28 28:109 4
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2019/2020 (Main)