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Lichtenrader vs Torgelower Greif

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010
Lichtenrader Logo

Lichtenrader

1 - 1
FT
Torgelower Greif Logo

Torgelower Greif

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010 game between Lichtenrader and Torgelower Greif finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lichtenrader
15%
Draws
59%
Torgelower Greif
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Torgelower Greif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Torgelower Greif come out ahead of Lichtenrader on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lichtenrader Clean Sheet 20%
Torgelower Greif Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lichtenrader Torgelower Greif
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2010 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Lichtenrader vs Torgelower Greif
1:1
Nov 8, 2009 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Torgelower Greif vs Lichtenrader
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lichtenrader 32 / 100
Torgelower Greif 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lichtenrader Torgelower Greif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torgelower Greif Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Lichtenrader's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Torgelower Greif conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Lichtenrader went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Torgelower Greif
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lichtenrader

(Home)
13 Jun
FC Gera 03
2 : 0
Lichtenrader
06 Jun
Lichtenrader
1 : 1
FC Gera 03
29 May
Schoneiche
5 : 2
Lichtenrader
22 May
Lichtenrader
2 : 0
Rathenow
12 May
Malchower
5 : 3
Lichtenrader
Page 1 of 6

Torgelower Greif

(Away)
18 Jun
Torgelower Greif
1 : 3
CFC Hertha
12 Jun
Pampow
2 : 0
Torgelower Greif
04 Jun
Torgelower Greif
3 : 0
FSV Schwerin
28 May
Blau Weiss Berlin
0 : 2
Torgelower Greif
21 May
Torgelower Greif
3 : 0
SC Staaken
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cottbus II 30 20 6 4 67:26 66
2 BFC Dynamo 30 17 7 6 70:40 58
3 Brandenburger 30 15 8 7 57:40 53
4 Luckenwalde 30 16 5 9 56:43 53
5 Malchower 30 15 8 7 47:35 53
6 TSG Neustrelitz 30 16 4 10 70:38 52
7 Rathenow 30 13 6 11 43:46 45
8 Torgelower Greif 30 12 8 10 46:35 44
9 Schoneiche 30 11 9 10 45:39 42
10 Berliner AK 07 30 12 6 12 53:51 42
11 Ludwigsfelder 30 10 6 14 42:52 36
12 LFC Berlin 30 8 8 14 40:51 32
13 Reinickendorfer 30 10 2 18 26:46 32
14 Lichtenrader 30 7 3 20 31:79 24
15 Greifswalder FC 30 6 5 19 38:66 23
16 SV Falkensee-Finkenkrug 30 4 5 21 25:69 17
Relegation - Oberliga NOFV - Relegation 2009/2010 (Main)