Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lidzbark Warmimski vs Jagiellonia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Wasilewski M.
74' Event
Kozlowski E.
88' Event
Karpinski H.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between Lidzbark Warmimski and Jagiellonia II finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Lidzbark Warmimski
28%
Draws
50%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jagiellonia II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jagiellonia II come out ahead of Lidzbark Warmimski on wins alone.
  • Jagiellonia II are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lidzbark Warmimski Clean Sheet 20%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lidzbark Warmimski Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 7 19
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Lidzbark Warmimski vs Jagiellonia II
0:3
Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Lidzbark Warmimski
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lidzbark Warmimski Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Jagiellonia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Wasilewski M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kozlowski E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lidzbark Warmimski 24 / 100
Jagiellonia II 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lidzbark Warmimski Jagiellonia II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Lidzbark Warmimski scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Jagiellonia II let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

Solid form: Lidzbark Warmimski remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jagiellonia II
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Unia Skierniewice34235681:3074
2Legia II34217675:3970
3LKS Lomza341810668:3864
4Warta Sieradz341671146:4255
5Suwalki341391246:3848
6Jagiellonia II341381354:4947
7Swit Mazowiecki341381347:5847
8GKS Belchatow3412101252:5246
9Bron Radom3412101240:4846
10Tomaszow Mazowiecki341371457:6446
11MKS Mlawa341281467:6244
12Plock II3411101354:5843
13GKS Wikielec3410121239:4542
14Stomil Olsztyn341191444:5642
15Victoria Sulejowek341181552:5941
16Lidzbark Warmimski349141146:6041
17Pelikan34961934:5833
18Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz34262626:7212