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Stadium Background

Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 Rheinpark Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Salanovic D.
28'
Jolley E.
38'
Traber L.

AI Match Summary

Liechtenstein host Gibraltar in the UEFA Nations League 2024/2025. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Liechtenstein at 0.38 goals for, 3.63 against; Gibraltar at 0.13 for, 2.13 against. Past meetings favor Gibraltar slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 13, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.88) point toward Gibraltar. Gibraltar in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Liechtenstein
6%
Draws
90%
Gibraltar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gibraltar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gibraltar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Liechtenstein.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Gibraltar.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Liechtenstein Clean Sheet 10%
Gibraltar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liechtenstein Gibraltar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 24 20
Goals Scored 0.38 0.13
Goals Conceded 3.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar vs Liechtenstein
2:2
Nov 16, 2022 Friendly International
Gibraltar vs Liechtenstein
2:0
Nov 17, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Gibraltar vs Liechtenstein
1:1
Oct 10, 2020 UEFA Nations League
Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liechtenstein 10 / 100
Gibraltar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liechtenstein Gibraltar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liechtenstein scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

Gibraltar let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Liechtenstein went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Gibraltar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Liechtenstein VS Gibraltar
0.38 Goals Scored 0.13
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Marino42115:37
2Gibraltar41304:36
3Liechtenstein40223:62
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moldova43015:19
2Malta42112:27
3Andorra40130:41