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Liechtenstein vs Hong Kong

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Friendly International 2024 Rheinpark Stadion
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Match Events

16' Event
Hasler N.
46'
Sub
Hasler N. In: Wolfinger S.
Out: Hasler N.
51'
Luchinger S.

AI Match Summary

Liechtenstein in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Liechtenstein.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Liechtenstein
6%
Draws
90%
Hong Kong
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hong Kong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hong Kong have won more games recently than Liechtenstein.
  • Win probability leans Hong Kong's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Liechtenstein Clean Sheet 10%
Hong Kong Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Liechtenstein Hong Kong
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 24 11
Goals Scored 0.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 Friendly International
Liechtenstein vs Hong Kong
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Liechtenstein Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasler N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Hong Kong Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Liechtenstein 10 / 100
Hong Kong 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Liechtenstein Hong Kong

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hong Kong let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Hong Kong has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Liechtenstein scored in 27% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Liechtenstein VS Hong Kong
0.38 Goals Scored 2.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%