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Lierse SK U21 vs Lommel SK U21

Belgium Belgium

Pro League U21 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Beirinckx L.
Own Goal
50' Event
Boutkabout S.
65' Event
Gijbels D.

AI Match Summary

Lommel SK U21 in this Pro League U21 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lommel SK U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Lierse SK U21
30%
Draws
61%
Lommel SK U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lommel SK U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Lierse SK U21 haven't matched Lommel SK U21's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lommel SK U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pro League U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lommel SK U21 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Lierse SK U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Lommel SK U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lierse SK U21 Lommel SK U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 19
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 1.83 2.2
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Pro League U21
Lierse SK U21 vs Lommel SK U21
2:4
Dec 5, 2025 Pro League U21
Lommel SK U21 vs Lierse SK U21
2:1
Apr 8, 2024 Pro League U21
Lierse SK U21 vs Lommel SK U21
3:5
Nov 10, 2023 Pro League U21
Lommel SK U21 vs Lierse SK U21
3:1
Feb 27, 2023 Pro League U21
Lierse SK U21 vs Lommel SK U21
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lierse SK U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Boutkabout S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lommel SK U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gijbels D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yakassongo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lierse SK U21 10 / 100
Lommel SK U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lierse SK U21 Lommel SK U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lommel SK U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lierse SK U21's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Lommel SK U21 conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Lierse SK U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lierse SK U21 VS Lommel SK U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lierse SK U21

(Home)
11 Sept
Daring Brussels U21
2 : 2
Lierse SK U21
28 Aug
Francs Borains U21
3 : 0
Lierse SK U21
15 May
Lierse SK U21
2 : 4
Lommel SK U21
08 May
Westerlo U21
2 : 2
Lierse SK U21
24 Apr
Beerschot VA U21
2 : 1
Lierse SK U21
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Lommel SK U21

(Away)
15 May
Lierse SK U21
2 : 4
Lommel SK U21
08 May
Lommel SK U21
3 : 0
RFC Liege U21
24 Apr
OC Charleroi U21
0 : 3
Lommel SK U21
10 Apr
SK Beveren U21
2 : 2
Lommel SK U21
03 Apr
Francs Borains U21
1 : 2
Lommel SK U21
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