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Lierse SK vs Herderen-Millen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup 2003/2004
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AI Match Summary

Lierse SK in this Belgian Cup 2003/2004 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lierse SK
15%
Draws
64%
Herderen-Millen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Herderen-Millen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Lierse SK have won more games recently than Herderen-Millen.
  • 21% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Lierse SK have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lierse SK, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 20%
Herderen-Millen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lierse SK Herderen-Millen
Matches Played 31 5
Wins 13 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.29 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.84 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2003 Belgian Cup
Lierse SK vs Herderen-Millen
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lierse SK 31 / 100
Herderen-Millen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lierse SK Herderen-Millen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lierse SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Herderen-Millen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 5 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Lierse SK's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Herderen-Millen lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lierse SK VS Herderen-Millen
0.88 Goals Scored 2.33
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Lierse SK

(Home)
18 May
Waregem
5 : 0
Lierse SK
11 May
Lierse SK
0 : 5
SK Beveren
08 May
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 0
Lierse SK
05 May
Lierse SK
2 : 2
Leuven
28 Apr
Kortrijk
2 : 1
Lierse SK
Page 1 of 7

Herderen-Millen

(Away)
06 Sept
Diegem
1 : 0
Herderen-Millen
30 Aug
Entente Blegnytoise
2 : 5
Herderen-Millen
28 Jul
Herstal
6 : 2
Herderen-Millen
28 Jul
Koninklijek Zonhoven
6 : 1
Herderen-Millen
03 Dec
Lierse SK
5 : 0
Herderen-Millen

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Club Brugge 3
KRC Harelbeke 1
Maldegem 0
Gent 2
K.F.C. Verbroedering Geel 4
Charleroi 3
Vervietois 0
RAA Louvieroise 2
Cercle Brugge 2
St. Liege 0
St. Truiden 1
Bocholter 1
Denderhoutem 3
Mons 2
Walhain 0
Royal Excelsior Mouscron 4
Anderlecht 5
FC Brussel 1
KSV Roeselare 1
Antwerp 2
Lokeren 3
Cappellen 2
Genk 0
Heusden-Zolder 2
Beerschot 4
Deinze 1
Herderen-Millen 0
Lierse SK 5
Westerlo 3
Tubize-Braine 1
Hamme 1
KSK Beveren 3
1/8-finals
Club Brugge 2
Gent 0
K.F.C. Verbroedering Geel 0
RAA Louvieroise 1
Cercle Brugge 3
Bocholter 0
Denderhoutem 0
Royal Excelsior Mouscron 4
Anderlecht 4
Antwerp 2
Lokeren 1
Heusden-Zolder 2
Beerschot 2
Lierse SK 1
Westerlo 1
KSK Beveren 2
Quarter-finals
Club Brugge 3
RAA Louvieroise 2
Cercle Brugge 2
Royal Excelsior Mouscron 3
Anderlecht 3
Heusden-Zolder 2
Beerschot 1
KSK Beveren 3
Semi-finals
Club Brugge 3
Royal Excelsior Mouscron 2
Anderlecht 1
KSK Beveren 1
Final
Club Brugge 4
KSK Beveren 2