Sport Picks
Lierse SK vs Patro Eisden
Belgium
Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier 
Match Events
12'
12'
Borry K.
13'
13'
Stanic A.
(Penalty)
39'
39'
Masaki H.
AI Match Summary
Patro Eisden in this Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Patro Eisden.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lierse SK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Patro Eisden haven't matched Lierse SK's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Lierse SK taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 20%
Patro Eisden Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lierse SK | Patro Eisden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Patro Eisden
2:1
Mar 13, 2026 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Patro Eisden
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Patro Eisden vs Lierse SK
2:1
Apr 11, 2025 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Patro Eisden
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Challenger Pro League
Patro Eisden vs Lierse SK
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lierse SK Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Patro Eisden Compare
Top Goalscorer Rousseau L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lierse SK 42 / 100
Patro Eisden 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lierse SK Patro Eisden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Patro Eisden let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Lierse SK scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Lierse SK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lierse SK VS Patro Eisden
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lierse SK
(Home) 30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1 Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1 Patro Eisden
15 Aug
Virton
3 : 0 Lierse SK
09 Aug
Thes Sport
1 : 1 Lierse SK
08 Aug
Merelbeke
0 : 2 Lierse SK
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1 Patro Eisden
01 Aug
Lierse SK
1 : 2 Heist
17 Apr
Lierse SK
1 : 1 Sporting Lokeren
04 Apr
Lierse SK
0 : 2 Francs Borains
13 Mar
Lierse SK
1 : 2 Patro Eisden
Page 1 of 2
Patro Eisden
(Away) 29 Aug
Patro Eisden
1 : 2 Club Brugge U23
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1 Patro Eisden
15 Aug
Patro Eisden
2 : 1 Anderlecht U23
08 Aug
Patro Eisden
0 : 0 RFC Liege
01 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1 Patro Eisden
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1 Patro Eisden
01 Aug
Maastricht
2 : 1 Patro Eisden
29 Jul
Waalwijk
1 : 2 Patro Eisden
24 Jul
Royale Union SG
4 : 0 Patro Eisden
22 Jul
Heist
0 : 0 Patro Eisden
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Beveren | 32 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 74:23 | 88 |
| 2 | Kortrijk | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 59:33 | 67 |
| 3 | Beerschot VA | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52:31 | 64 |
| 4 | RFC Liege | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 44:39 | 53 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 6 | Patro Eisden | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 44:40 | 51 |
| 7 | Eupen | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 44:36 | 47 |
| 8 | Sporting Lokeren | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 48:45 | 42 |
| 9 | Gent U23 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 42:51 | 41 |
| 10 | Lierse SK | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:42 | 38 |
| 11 | RFC Seraing | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 37:44 | 35 |
| 12 | Francs Borains | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 33:47 | 34 |
| 13 | RWDM Brussels | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 50:54 | 33 |
| 14 | Anderlecht U23 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 31 |
| 15 | Genk U23 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 42:59 | 31 |
| 16 | Club Brugge U23 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 33:55 | 21 |
| 17 | OC Charleroi | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 26:68 | 16 |
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