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Lierse SK vs Royal Excel Mouscron Prediction & H2H Stats

Belgium Belgium

1B Pro League 2021/2022 Herman Vanderpoortenstadion, Lier
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Gonzalez J.
Assist: Bocat E.
54'
Angiulli M.
58'
Sub
Gnohere H. In: Bourdouxhe J.
Out: Gnohere H.

AI Match Summary

The 1B Pro League 2021/2022 game between Lierse SK and Royal Excel Mouscron finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Royal Excel Mouscron.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lierse SK
20%
Draws
30%
Royal Excel Mouscron
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lierse SK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Royal Excel Mouscron carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lierse SK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 68%
Royal Excel Mouscron Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lierse SK Royal Excel Mouscron
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Royal Excel Mouscron
0:1
Jan 23, 2022 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Lierse SK
0:0
Nov 28, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Royal Excel Mouscron vs Lierse SK
2:1
Oct 2, 2021 Challenger Pro League
Lierse SK vs Royal Excel Mouscron
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lierse SK Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Royal Excel Mouscron Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lierse SK 95 / 100
Royal Excel Mouscron 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lierse SK Royal Excel Mouscron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lierse SK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lierse SK found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Royal Excel Mouscron has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lierse SK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lierse SK VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lierse SK

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
3 : 2
Lierse SK
11 Sept
Beerschot VA
3 : 1
Lierse SK
06 Sept
Lierse SK
0 : 0
RFC Liege
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1
Lierse SK
22 Aug
Lierse SK
2 : 1
Patro Eisden
Page 1 of 7

Royal Excel Mouscron

(Away)
17 Apr
SK Beveren
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
08 Apr
Royal Excel Mouscron
2 : 6
Westerlo
03 Apr
Virton
2 : 0
Royal Excel Mouscron
18 Mar
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2
Deinze
13 Mar
Lierse SK
0 : 1
Royal Excel Mouscron
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Westerlo 28 17 5 6 52:29 56
2 RWDM Brussels 28 14 7 7 41:33 49
3 SK Beveren 28 12 5 11 47:40 41
4 Deinze 28 9 12 7 47:39 39
5 Lierse SK 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
6 Lommel SK 28 9 8 11 39:40 35
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 8 6 14 31:45 30
8 Virton 28 5 6 17 24:52 21
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