Sport Picks
Match Events
37'
37'
Bongonda T.
Assist: Walsh S.
53'
53'
Harbaoui H.
(Penalty)
54'
54'
Harbaoui H.
Assist: Olayinka P.
AI Match Summary
Waregem in this Jupiler League 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waregem.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Waregem
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Waregem have won more games recently than Lierse SK.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Waregem taking it.
- Regular Jupiler League 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Waregem have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lierse SK Clean Sheet 10%
Waregem Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lierse SK | Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 20 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 2.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 18, 2018 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Lierse SK
5:0
Apr 17, 2018 Jupiler Pro League
Lierse SK vs Waregem
1:4
Jul 11, 2017 Club Friendly
Lierse SK vs Waregem
0:2
Feb 7, 2015 Jupiler Pro League
Waregem vs Lierse SK
2:3
Dec 3, 2014 Belgian Cup
Waregem vs Lierse SK
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lierse SK Compare
Top Goalscorer Janssens W.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Waregem Compare
Top Goalscorer Harbaoui H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Bongonda T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lierse SK 14 / 100
Waregem 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lierse SK Waregem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Waregem Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Lierse SK's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Waregem has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.
Waregem lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Waregem
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lierse SK
(Home) 18 May
Waregem
5 : 0 Lierse SK
11 May
Lierse SK
0 : 5 SK Beveren
08 May
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 0 Lierse SK
05 May
Lierse SK
2 : 2 Leuven
28 Apr
Kortrijk
2 : 1 Lierse SK
Page 1 of 7
11 May
Lierse SK
0 : 5 SK Beveren
05 May
Lierse SK
2 : 2 Leuven
17 Apr
Lierse SK
1 : 4 Waregem
14 Apr
Lierse SK
0 : 2 Kortrijk
31 Mar
Lierse SK
0 : 3 Royal Excel Mouscron
Page 1 of 3
Waregem
(Away) 02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1 Waregem
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0 Waregem
13 Sept
Waregem
0 : 1 Charleroi
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2 Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2 Waregem
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Lille
2 : 1 Waregem
19 Sept
Anderlecht
3 : 0 Waregem
06 Sept
Kortrijk
0 : 2 Waregem
30 Aug
Westerlo
2 : 2 Waregem
15 Aug
Royale Union SG
0 : 0 Waregem
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waregem | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Kortrijk | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 3 | Royal Excel Mouscron | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | 14 |
| 4 | Leuven | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 5 | SK Beveren | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:23 | 8 |
| 6 | Lierse SK | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | 7 |
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waregem | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 35:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Kortrijk | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 3 | Royal Excel Mouscron | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | 14 |
| 4 | Leuven | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:18 | 9 |
| 5 | SK Beveren | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:23 | 8 |
| 6 | Lierse SK | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7:25 | 7 |
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokeren | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:15 | 17 |
| 3 | Antwerp | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | 14 |
| 4 | Oostende | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 5 | Eupen | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 6 | Beerschot VA | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lokeren | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:15 | 17 |
| 3 | Antwerp | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | 14 |
| 4 | Oostende | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 21:18 | 14 |
| 5 | Eupen | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:21 | 8 |
| 6 | Beerschot VA | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | 7 |
Promotion - Jupiler League 2017/2018 (Europa League - Play Offs)
