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Ligorna vs AS Biellese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Graziano G.
21' Event
Vuthaj D.
90' Event
Vuthaj D.

AI Match Summary

Ligorna in this Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ligorna
15%
Draws
50%
AS Biellese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Biellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Ligorna have won more games recently than AS Biellese.
  • Model gives AS Biellese a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ligorna here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 14%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna AS Biellese
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2 1.86
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Ligorna
3:1
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs AS Biellese
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Ligorna
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuthaj D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

AS Biellese Compare

Top Goalscorer Graziano G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 27 / 100
AS Biellese 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna AS Biellese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Biellese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ligorna found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Ligorna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

AS Biellese let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS AS Biellese
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
04 Oct
Ligorna
2 : 1
Saluzzo
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
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AS Biellese

(Away)
07 Oct
AS Biellese
3 : 2
Alessandria
04 Oct
AS Biellese
4 : 1
Gozzano
27 Sept
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
AS Biellese
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Out)