Sport Picks
Match Events
49'
49'
Miracoli L.
84'
84'
Bacigalupo A.
AI Match Summary
Ligorna in this Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ligorna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Borgosesia Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Ligorna have won more games recently than Borgosesia Calcio.
- Ligorna are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 20%
Borgosesia Calcio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ligorna | Borgosesia Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 28 |
| Wins | 20 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 27, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Borgosesia Calcio
2:0
Sep 30, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Ligorna
1:0
Feb 18, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Ligorna
1:1
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Borgosesia Calcio
2:0
Mar 22, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Borgosesia Calcio vs Ligorna
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ligorna Compare
Top Goalscorer Miracoli L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bacigalupo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Borgosesia Calcio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ligorna 42 / 100
Borgosesia Calcio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ligorna Borgosesia Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Borgosesia Calcio let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.
Ligorna scored in 79% of their last 34 games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Ligorna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ligorna VS Borgosesia Calcio
2.25 Goals Scored 0.83
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.83
50% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ligorna
(Home) 27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2 Ligorna
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2 Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3 Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1 Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2 Sanremese
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16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3 Derthona FbC
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2 Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3 Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0 Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1 NovaRomentin
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Borgosesia Calcio
(Away) 27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
20 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1 Bra
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2 Saluzzo
05 May
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 0 AC Chieri
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27 Sept
Valenzana
1 : 2 Borgosesia Calcio
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
28 Apr
Vado
4 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
21 Apr
Alcione Milano
3 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
07 Apr
Bra
1 : 0 Borgosesia Calcio
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 70:27 | 79 |
| 2 | Chisola | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 64:37 | 72 |
| 3 | Varese FC | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 49:33 | 66 |
| 4 | Vado | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 51:28 | 65 |
| 5 | NovaRomentin | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 58:38 | 65 |
| 6 | Bra | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 47:30 | 65 |
| 7 | Ligorna | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 44:37 | 63 |
| 8 | Asti Calcio | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 42:33 | 59 |
| 9 | Albenga | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 51:33 | 58 |
| 10 | Sanremese | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 34:33 | 52 |
| 11 | Fezzanese | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 42:50 | 51 |
| 12 | Gozzano | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 35:38 | 45 |
| 13 | Lavagnese | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 46:47 | 44 |
| 14 | Vogherese | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42:57 | 42 |
| 15 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 34:52 | 41 |
| 16 | AC Chieri | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 39:52 | 39 |
| 17 | Pinerolo | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 25:44 | 37 |
| 18 | Alba | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 39:63 | 37 |
| 19 | PDHA | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25:63 | 22 |
| 20 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25:67 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2023/2024 (Play Out)
