Sport Picks
Ligorna vs NovaRomentin
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 
Match Events
3'
3'
Sodini M.
90'
90'
Own Goal
1'
1'
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ligorna
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ligorna come out ahead of NovaRomentin on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Ligorna's way, sitting at 90%.
- Ligorna have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ligorna, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ligorna | NovaRomentin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 20 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 3.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 3.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs NovaRomentin
9:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Ligorna
0:0
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Ligorna vs NovaRomentin
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs NovaRomentin
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Ligorna
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ligorna Compare
Top Goalscorer Sodini M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
NovaRomentin Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ligorna 95 / 100
NovaRomentin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ligorna NovaRomentin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SCD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: NovaRomentin conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Ligorna has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
NovaRomentin's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ligorna VS NovaRomentin
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.38
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Ligorna
(Home) 17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3 Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0 Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1 NovaRomentin
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1 Ligorna
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1 AS Biellese
Page 1 of 7
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3 Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0 Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1 NovaRomentin
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1 AS Biellese
02 Apr
Ligorna
0 : 0 Cairese
Page 1 of 4
NovaRomentin
(Away) 03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1 NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5 Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1 NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2 Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2 NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 7
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1 NovaRomentin
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1 NovaRomentin
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2 NovaRomentin
22 Mar
Saluzzo
3 : 0 NovaRomentin
01 Mar
Celle Varazze
0 : 2 NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Asti Calcio 2
Chisola 0
Ligorna 1
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 3
Sestri Levante 0
Tau 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
SCD Progresso 1
Pavia 2
Sant'Angelo 0
Prato 2
Montevarchi 1
Correggese 2
Imolese 1
Sondrio 1
Breno 0
Folgore Caratese 2
Club Milano 3
AC Milan U23 2
Varesina 3
Brusaporto 0
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Chievo 0
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Vigasio 2
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Brian Lignano 2
Luparense FC 0
Mestre 1
Fossombrone 0
Ancona 1
Foligno 0
Atletico Ascoli 2
Orvietana 2
Siena 0
Follonica Gavorrano 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Termoli 0
Albalonga 2
Aquila Calcio 1
Grosseto 0
Unipomezia 1
Trastevere Calcio 2
Budoni Calcio 0
Martina Calcio 3
Sarnese 1
Ferrandina 2
Francavilla 3
A.C. Savoia 2
Paganese 1
Citta di Fasano 3
Gravina 0
Nocerina 4
Gelbison 2
Sambiase 0
Reggina 1
Castrumfavara 3
Igea Virtus 1
Enna 0
Sancataldese 2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio 3
NovaRomentin 2
Vado 0
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 2
Pavia 1
Prato 1
Correggese 4
Sondrio 0
Club Milano 3
Varesina 4
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Rovato Vertovese 1
Este 3
Brian Lignano 0
Mestre 1
Ancona 1
Atletico Ascoli 0
Orvietana 0
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 2
Albalonga 1
Unipomezia 3
Trastevere Calcio 1
Martina Calcio 1
Francavilla 2
A.C. Savoia 3
Citta di Fasano 4
Nocerina 3
Reggina 2
Castrumfavara 3
Sancataldese 2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio 1
Pistoiese 3
Piacenza 0
Correggese 1
Club Milano 1
Varesina 0
Este 1
Mestre 2
Ancona 2
Valmontone 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 3
Citta di Fasano 2
Nocerina 2
Castrumfavara 0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese 2
Correggese 0
Club Milano 1
Mestre 0
Ancona 2
Unipomezia 1
Francavilla 1
Nocerina 0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese 3
Club Milano 1
Ancona 2
Francavilla 1
Final
Pistoiese 3
Ancona 0
