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Stadium Background

Ligorna vs NovaRomentin

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Oct 8, 2025
1 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sodini M.
90' Event
Own Goal
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with NovaRomentin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ligorna
6%
Draws
4%
NovaRomentin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ligorna come out ahead of NovaRomentin on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ligorna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ligorna have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ligorna, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%
NovaRomentin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna NovaRomentin
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 20 5
Draws 7 3
Losses 5 23
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs NovaRomentin
9:1
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Ligorna
0:0
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Ligorna vs NovaRomentin
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs NovaRomentin
2:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
NovaRomentin vs Ligorna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Sodini M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

NovaRomentin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 95 / 100
NovaRomentin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna NovaRomentin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: NovaRomentin conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Ligorna has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

NovaRomentin's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS NovaRomentin
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.38
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1
AS Biellese
Page 1 of 7

NovaRomentin

(Away)
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
NovaRomentin
0 : 5
Vado
19 Apr
Club Milano
6 : 1
NovaRomentin
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Sestri Levante
5 : 2
NovaRomentin
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Asti Calcio2
Chisola0
Ligorna1
NovaRomentin2
Vado3
Sestri Levante0
Tau1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
SCD Progresso1
Pavia2
Sant'Angelo0
Prato2
Montevarchi1
Correggese2
Imolese1
Sondrio1
Breno0
Folgore Caratese2
Club Milano3
AC Milan U232
Varesina3
Brusaporto0
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Chievo0
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Vigasio2
Cjarlins Muzane1
Brian Lignano2
Luparense FC0
Mestre1
Fossombrone0
Ancona1
Foligno0
Atletico Ascoli2
Orvietana2
Siena0
Follonica Gavorrano0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Termoli0
Albalonga2
Aquila Calcio1
Grosseto0
Unipomezia1
Trastevere Calcio2
Budoni Calcio0
Martina Calcio3
Sarnese1
Ferrandina2
Francavilla3
A.C. Savoia2
Paganese1
Citta di Fasano3
Gravina0
Nocerina4
Gelbison2
Sambiase0
Reggina1
Castrumfavara3
Igea Virtus1
Enna0
Sancataldese2
1/16-finals
Asti Calcio3
NovaRomentin2
Vado0
Pistoiese3
Piacenza2
Pavia1
Prato1
Correggese4
Sondrio0
Club Milano3
Varesina4
Ciserano-Bergamo1
Rovato Vertovese1
Este3
Brian Lignano0
Mestre1
Ancona1
Atletico Ascoli0
Orvietana0
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio2
Albalonga1
Unipomezia3
Trastevere Calcio1
Martina Calcio1
Francavilla2
A.C. Savoia3
Citta di Fasano4
Nocerina3
Reggina2
Castrumfavara3
Sancataldese2
1/8-finals
Asti Calcio1
Pistoiese3
Piacenza0
Correggese1
Club Milano1
Varesina0
Este1
Mestre2
Ancona2
Valmontone1
Notaresco Calcio0
Unipomezia1
Francavilla3
Citta di Fasano2
Nocerina2
Castrumfavara0
Quarter-finals
Pistoiese2
Correggese0
Club Milano1
Mestre0
Ancona2
Unipomezia1
Francavilla1
Nocerina0
Semi-finals
Pistoiese3
Club Milano1
Ancona2
Francavilla1
Final
Pistoiese3
Ancona0