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Ligorna vs Saluzzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Moretti A.
42' Event
Corti A.
74' Event
Pastore M.

AI Match Summary

Ligorna in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ligorna
20%
Draws
29%
Saluzzo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ligorna lately — more wins on the board than Saluzzo.
  • Win probability leans Ligorna's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 16%
Saluzzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Saluzzo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.07 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Saluzzo
2:1
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Ligorna
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Saluzzo
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Saluzzo
2:2
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Ligorna
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Corti A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pastore M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Saluzzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Moretti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 41 / 100
Saluzzo 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Saluzzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Ligorna scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Saluzzo let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Ligorna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS Saluzzo
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
04 Oct
Ligorna
2 : 1
Saluzzo
27 Sept
Chisola
1 : 2
Ligorna
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
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Saluzzo

(Away)
07 Oct
Valenzana
3 : 2
Saluzzo
04 Oct
Ligorna
2 : 1
Saluzzo
27 Sept
Saluzzo
0 : 0
Derthona FbC
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alessandria 6 5 0 1 12:8 15
2 AS Biellese 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
3 Derthona FbC 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
4 Ligorna 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
5 Asti Calcio 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
6 Gozzano 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
7 Saluzzo 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
8 Millesimo 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
9 Chisola 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
10 Imperia Calcio 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
11 GSD Lascaris 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
12 Sanremese 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
13 Fezzanese 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
14 Sestri Levante 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Borgosesia Calcio 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
16 Bra 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
17 Valenzana 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
18 Celle Varazze 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)