Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ligorna vs Sanremese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Vuthaj D.
45' Event
Vuthaj D.
(Penalty)
84' Event
Moreo R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Ligorna and Sanremese finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ligorna
6%
Draws
4%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ligorna come out ahead of Sanremese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ligorna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Sanremese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sanremese
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Ligorna
1:1
Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sanremese
5:1
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Ligorna
0:0
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sanremese
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Vuthaj D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreo R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 95 / 100
Sanremese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ligorna went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ligorna's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Sanremese conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS Sanremese
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1
AS Biellese
Page 1 of 7

Sanremese

(Away)
03 May
Sestri Levante
0 : 2
Sanremese
26 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Club Milano
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
02 Apr
Saluzzo
0 : 1
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)