Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ligorna vs Sanremese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
La Marca M.
67' Event
Costantino D.
70' Event
Usai C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Ligorna and Sanremese finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ligorna
30%
Draws
37%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ligorna come out ahead of Sanremese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ligorna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 68%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Sanremese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sanremese
2:2
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sanremese
3:1
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Ligorna
1:1
Jan 29, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs Sanremese
5:1
Oct 2, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Sanremese vs Ligorna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer La Marca M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gibilterra G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sanremese Compare

Top Goalscorer Costantino D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usai C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 95 / 100
Sanremese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ligorna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Ligorna's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Ligorna remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sanremese let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS Sanremese
2.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
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Sanremese

(Away)
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
13 Aug
Reggina
1 : 2
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derthona FbC 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Saluzzo 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
3 AS Biellese 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
4 GSD Lascaris 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
5 Fezzanese 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Asti Calcio 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
7 Millesimo 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
8 Alessandria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
9 Sanremese 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Gozzano 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Imperia Calcio 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Ligorna 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
13 Chisola 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
14 Sestri Levante 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
15 Bra 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 Borgosesia Calcio 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
17 Valenzana 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
18 Celle Varazze 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)