Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ligorna vs Valdinievole Montecatini

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ligorna in this Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ligorna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ligorna
6%
Draws
4%
Valdinievole Montecatini
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ligorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ligorna have won more games recently than Valdinievole Montecatini.
  • Ligorna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 20%
Valdinievole Montecatini Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ligorna Valdinievole Montecatini
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 22 1
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 23
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Ligorna vs Valdinievole Montecatini
5:1
Nov 1, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Valdinievole Montecatini vs Ligorna
1:2
Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Ligorna vs Valdinievole Montecatini
0:1
Sep 25, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Valdinievole Montecatini vs Ligorna
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ligorna 85 / 100
Valdinievole Montecatini 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ligorna Valdinievole Montecatini

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valdinievole Montecatini has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Ligorna remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Ligorna scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ligorna VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ligorna

(Home)
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Ligorna
9 : 1
NovaRomentin
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Ligorna
2 : 1
AS Biellese
Page 1 of 7

Valdinievole Montecatini

(Away)
31 Jul
Empoli
9 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
15 Jul
AS Roma
10 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
06 May
Savona
6 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
29 Apr
Valdinievole Montecatini
1 : 0
FC Ponsacco
22 Apr
Rignanese
1 : 0
Valdinievole Montecatini
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Albissola34216756:3069
2Sanremese34207758:3467
3FC Ponsacco341711649:3162
4Real Forte Querceta341612650:2760
5Viareggio34179857:4658
6Massese341511850:3356
7Savona341671153:3455
8Seravezza Pozzi341312944:3351
9San Donato Tavarnelle3412101241:3446
10Ghiviborgo3410141048:4544
11Ligorna3411101341:5043
12Sestri Levante341191435:3442
13Lavagnese341181535:4241
14Rignanese341081636:6038
15Scandicci341042042:5434
16Finale346121638:4930
17Argentina34492129:7121
18Valdinievole Montecatini34292319:7415
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 (Play Offs)