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Lija vs Qrendi

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
25' Event
36' Event

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2022/2023 game between Lija and Qrendi finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qrendi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lija
20%
Draws
40%
Qrendi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Lija carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Qrendi are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lija Clean Sheet 17%
Qrendi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lija Qrendi
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 1.16 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2023 Challenge League
Lija vs Qrendi
4:5
Nov 6, 2022 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Lija
3:3
Apr 25, 2020 Challenge League
Lija vs Qrendi
0:0
Jan 19, 2020 Challenge League
Qrendi vs Lija
3:2
Oct 25, 2019 FA Trophy
Qrendi vs Lija
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lija 28 / 100
Qrendi 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lija Qrendi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qrendi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Qrendi conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Lija's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Solid form: Lija remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lija VS Qrendi
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lija

(Home)
19 Apr
Lija
0 : 6
Valletta
12 Apr
Lija
3 : 0
Zebbug
06 Apr
Senglea
1 : 1
Lija
29 Mar
Lija
2 : 3
Fgura
08 Mar
Gudja
0 : 1
Lija
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Qrendi

(Away)
05 Feb
Mosta FC
4 : 0
Qrendi
10 Jan
Sirens
0 : 2
Qrendi
23 Apr
Qrendi
2 : 2
Marsa
16 Apr
Marsaskala FC
1 : 3
Qrendi
05 Apr
Qrendi
1 : 2
Fgura
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