Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lija vs St. Lawrence

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lija in this FA Trophy 2016/2017 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Lija
15%
Draws
26%
St. Lawrence
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Lawrence haven't matched Lija's recent run of results.
  • Lija are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Lija have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lija, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Lija Clean Sheet 15%
St. Lawrence Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lija St. Lawrence
Matches Played 31 12
Wins 8 4
Draws 5 0
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.06 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2016 FA Trophy
Lija vs St. Lawrence
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lija 84 / 100
St. Lawrence 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lija St. Lawrence

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lija scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

St. Lawrence's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 12 matches.

Recent resilience: Lija stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lija VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lija

(Home)
19 Apr
Lija
0 : 6
Valletta
12 Apr
Lija
3 : 0
Zebbug
06 Apr
Senglea
1 : 1
Lija
29 Mar
Lija
2 : 3
Fgura
08 Mar
Gudja
0 : 1
Lija
Page 1 of 7

St. Lawrence

(Away)
09 Sept
St. Lawrence
0 : 5
Xewkija
01 Sept
St. Lawrence
0 : 2
Ghaxaq
03 Sept
Xghajra
4 : 1
St. Lawrence
23 Oct
Lija
5 : 0
St. Lawrence
10 Sept
St. Lawrence
3 : 0
Zurrieq
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Victoria Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Lucia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharb 2
Xghajra 1
TBD -
Nadur -
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Luqa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mdina -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar -
TBD -
TBD -
Xbiex -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirkop -
St. Lawrence -
TBD -
TBD -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
TBD -
TBD -
Xaghra -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
TBD -
TBD -
Oratory -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/64-finals
Victoria Wanderers 3
St. Venera 0
TBD -
Melita -
Zabbar -
TBD -
TBD -
Mgarr -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa -
TBD -
Santa Lucia 0
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi -
TBD -
Qala Saints 0
Xewkija 6
Sirens -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
Gharb 1
Nadur 7
Siggiewi -
TBD -
TBD -
St. George's FC -
Msida 1
Luqa 0
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Ghajnsielem 3
Kalkara 2
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Zejtun -
TBD -
Mdina 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Munxar 2
Xbiex 0
TBD -
Gharghur -
Pieta -
TBD -
Marsaskala FC 0
Kirkop 4
St. Lawrence 3
Zurrieq 0
TBD -
Lija -
Valletta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
San Gwann -
Zebbug -
TBD -
TBD -
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea -
TBD -
Mtarfa 0
Xaghra 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
Qrendi -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows 0
Oratory 5
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/32-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Melita 1
Zabbar 1
Mgarr 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Marsa 4
Kercem Ajax 3
Qormi 1
Xewkija 4
Sirens 2
Rabat Ajax 1
TBD -
Pembroke -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Ghaxaq 0
Nadur 4
Siggiewi 3
St. George's FC 2
Msida 0
Mqabba FC 1
Ghajnsielem 4
Naxxar Lions 1
Zejtun 1
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 3
Mellieha 2
TBD -
Floriana -
Tarxien -
TBD -
Munxar 0
Gharghur 8
Pieta 1
Kirkop 0
St. Lawrence 0
Lija 5
Valletta -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk 0
San Gwann 4
Zebbug 2
Fgura 0
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Senglea 7
Xaghra 1
TBD -
Hibernians -
Gzira -
TBD -
Attard 1
Vittoriosa 5
Qrendi 2
Oratory 1
Gudja 0
Swieqi 3
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Sliema -
1/16-finals
Victoria Wanderers 5
Mgarr 0
Birkirkara 0
St. Andrews 3
Marsa 3
Xewkija 2
Sirens 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 2
Nadur 0
Siggiewi 0
Mqabba FC 2
Ghajnsielem 3
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Birzebbuga 0
Floriana 5
Tarxien 6
Gharghur 0
Pieta 0
Lija 2
Valletta 1
San Gwann 0
Zebbug 1
Balzan FC 3
Senglea 3
Hibernians 2
Gzira 2
Vittoriosa 3
Qrendi 1
Swieqi 0
Mosta FC 2
Sliema 3
1/8-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
St. Andrews 0
Marsa 1
Pembroke 2
Hamrun 1
Mqabba FC 0
Ghajnsielem 1
Floriana 4
Tarxien 3
Lija 0
Valletta 0
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 2
Vittoriosa 1
Qrendi 0
Sliema 5
Quarter-finals
Victoria Wanderers 2
Pembroke 0
Hamrun 0
Floriana 2
Tarxien 2
Balzan FC 1
Senglea 0
Sliema 1
Semi-finals
Victoria Wanderers 1
Floriana 3
Tarxien 0
Sliema 3
Final
Floriana 2
Sliema 0