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Stadium Background

Lija vs Zabbar

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
David Oliveira
52' Event
David Oliveira
64' Event
Tavares D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Zabbar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lija
30%
Draws
29%
Zabbar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lija haven't matched Zabbar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lija's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Zabbar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zabbar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zabbar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lija Clean Sheet 16%
Zabbar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lija Zabbar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 FA Trophy
Lija vs Zabbar
0:5
Nov 26, 2023 Challenge League
Zabbar vs Lija
1:0
May 14, 2012 Challenge League
Zabbar vs Lija
1:3
Jan 28, 2012 Challenge League
Lija vs Zabbar
0:1
Apr 20, 2005 Premier League
Zabbar vs Lija
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lija Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Zabbar Compare

Top Goalscorer David Oliveira
3 Goals
Assists Leader Tavares D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lija 36 / 100
Zabbar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lija Zabbar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Lija found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Zabbar has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Lija went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zabbar
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lija

(Home)
19 Apr
Lija
0 : 6
Valletta
12 Apr
Lija
3 : 0
Zebbug
06 Apr
Senglea
1 : 1
Lija
29 Mar
Lija
2 : 3
Fgura
08 Mar
Gudja
0 : 1
Lija
Page 1 of 6

Zabbar

(Away)
18 Sept
Zabbar
0 : 2
Birkirkara
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2
Hamrun
28 Aug
Hibernians
1 : 1
Zabbar
22 Aug
Zabbar
1 : 0
Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Fgura -
TBD -
TBD -
Attard -
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Balzan FC -
Gudja -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
Valletta 3
Nadur 1
Mgarr 2
Victoria Wanderers 3
Xaghra -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Senglea 0
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Xewkija -
Marsaxlokk -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosta FC -
Sirens 3
Santa Lucia 1
TBD -
Qrendi -
Lija -
TBD -
TBD -
Zabbar -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Swieqi 1
Mtarfa 0
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Qala Saints -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
Hibernians -
TBD -
Zebbug 6
Oratory 1
Zurrieq -
TBD -
Tarxien 1
Mellieha 2
Naxxar Lions -
TBD -
TBD -
Melita -
1/16-finals
Fgura 3
Attard 1
Birkirkara 2
Balzan FC 1
Gudja 0
Gzira 5
Valletta 4
Victoria Wanderers 0
Xaghra 1
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Floriana 2
Xewkija 0
Marsaxlokk 0
Mosta FC 3
Sirens 0
Qrendi 2
Lija 0
Zabbar 5
Hamrun 5
Swieqi 0
Pieta 1
Marsa 5
Sliema 8
Ghajnsielem 0
Qala Saints 2
St. Andrews 0
Hibernians 3
Zebbug 0
Zurrieq 1
Mellieha 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Melita 2
1/8-finals
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 3
Gzira 0
Valletta 1
Victoria Hotspurs 1
Floriana 4
Mosta FC 4
Qrendi 0
Zabbar 1
Hamrun 2
Marsa 0
Sliema 4
Qala Saints 0
Hibernians 3
Zurrieq 0
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Valletta 1
Floriana 2
Mosta FC 0
Hamrun 2
Sliema 0
Hibernians 2
Naxxar Lions 0
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 2
Floriana 1
Hamrun 1
Hibernians 2
Final
Birkirkara 1
Hibernians 2