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Lilla Torg vs Vaxjo Norra Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Magnusson L.
31' Event
Lilja O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lilla Torg
35%
Draws
32%
Vaxjo Norra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vaxjo Norra lately — more wins on the board than Lilla Torg.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lilla Torg Clean Sheet 12%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lilla Torg Vaxjo Norra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.45 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Lilla Torg
1:1
May 9, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lilla Torg vs Vaxjo Norra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lilla Torg Compare

Top Goalscorer Lilja O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lilla Torg 29 / 100
Vaxjo Norra 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lilla Torg Vaxjo Norra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lilla Torg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lilla Torg found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Vaxjo Norra has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lilla Torg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lilla Torg VS Vaxjo Norra
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lilla Torg

(Home)
02 Oct
Lilla Torg
2 : 3
Nosaby IF
27 Sept
Osterlen FF
3 : 3
Lilla Torg
18 Sept
Lilla Torg
2 : 2
Linero IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
Page 1 of 6

Vaxjo Norra

(Away)
03 Oct
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 2
IFK Karlshamn
25 Sept
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3
Vaxjo Norra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 23 18 3 2 61:20 57
2 IFK Trelleborg 23 14 5 4 49:23 47
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
5 Linero IF 23 12 2 9 44:39 38
6 IFK Berga 23 11 4 8 49:36 37
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 23 8 6 9 37:38 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 23 4 6 13 25:51 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)