Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lilla Torg vs Vaxjo Norra

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Magnusson L.
31' Event
Lilja O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lilla Torg
28%
Draws
22%
Vaxjo Norra
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lilla Torg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vaxjo Norra lately — more wins on the board than Lilla Torg.
  • Lilla Torg are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lilla Torg Clean Sheet 15%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lilla Torg Vaxjo Norra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lilla Torg vs Vaxjo Norra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lilla Torg Compare

Top Goalscorer Lilja O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lilla Torg 48 / 100
Vaxjo Norra 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lilla Torg Vaxjo Norra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lilla Torg found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Vaxjo Norra has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lilla Torg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lilla Torg VS Vaxjo Norra
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lilla Torg

(Home)
24 Jun
Lilla Torg
4 : 0
Torns
17 Jun
Nosaby IF
3 : 3
Lilla Torg
12 Jun
Lilla Torg
0 : 0
Staffanstorp United
07 Jun
IFK Karlshamn
2 : 0
Lilla Torg
31 May
Karlskrona
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
Page 1 of 6

Vaxjo Norra

(Away)
26 Jun
IFK Berga
3 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
17 Jun
Oskarshamn
2 : 0
Vaxjo Norra
13 Jun
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
IFK Trelleborg
07 Jun
Staffanstorp United
2 : 2
Vaxjo Norra
03 Jun
Hovshaga
0 : 5
Vaxjo Norra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Karlskrona1493228:1630
2Linero IF1481528:1925
3Oskarshamn1473427:1724
4IFK Trelleborg1365219:1123
5Vaxjo Norra1465320:1723
6IFK Berga1463527:1921
7Nosaby IF1355323:2120
8Osterlen FF1453618:2118
9Lilla Torg1446415:2018
10Staffanstorp United1445526:2617
11Solvesborgs1451822:2316
12Torns1450920:3715
13Rappe GOIF1433814:2512
14IFK Karlshamn14211114:297
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)