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Lille vs Lyon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 1 Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lille host Lyon in the Ligue 1. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Lille have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Lyon's 1.75 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, Lille have won 0 to Lyon's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.63, favoring Lyon. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lille
35%
Draws
35%
Lyon
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lyon have won more games recently than Lille.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lyon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lille Clean Sheet 68%
Lyon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille Lyon
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 16
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Lille
1:0
Jan 11, 2026 Coupe de France
Lille vs Lyon
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 Ligue 1
Lille vs Lyon
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 Ligue 1
Lyon vs Lille
2:1
Nov 1, 2024 Ligue 1
Lille vs Lyon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille 41 / 100
Lyon 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille Lyon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lille scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Lyon conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lille stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lille VS Lyon
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille

(Home)
03 Nov
Bodo/Glimt
0 : 0
Lille
30 Oct
Lille
1 : 0
Lens
25 Oct
Monaco
1 : 1
Lille
21 Oct
Lille
2 : 4
Galatasaray
17 Oct
Lille
1 : 1
Brest
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Lyon

(Away)
05 Nov
Real Sociedad
1 : 1
Lyon
01 Nov
Lyon
2 : 0
Angers
26 Oct
PSG
2 : 0
Lyon
22 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Lyon
18 Oct
Lyon
2 : 1
Nice
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Lille 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Lyon 9 5 2 2 15:7 17
4 Paris FC 9 5 2 2 16:10 17
5 Rennes 9 5 1 3 20:19 16
6 Marseille 9 5 0 4 20:13 15
7 Monaco 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Nice 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
9 Lens 9 4 1 4 16:13 13
10 Brest 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Lorient 9 3 3 3 7:8 12
12 Toulouse 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Strasbourg 9 3 1 5 17:19 10
14 Auxerre 9 3 1 5 13:23 10
15 Angers 9 2 2 5 9:17 8
16 Troyes 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
17 Le Mans 9 1 4 4 11:18 7
18 Le Havre 9 0 2 7 9:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)