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Lille vs Venezia

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Giroud O.
37' Event
Giroud O.
46'
Sub
Chevalier L. In: Bodart A.
Out: Chevalier L.

AI Match Summary

Lille in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lille.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lille
15%
Draws
0%
Venezia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Venezia have won more games recently than Lille.
  • Lille are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lille Clean Sheet 15%
Venezia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille Venezia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.48 2.27
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Lille vs Venezia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille Compare

Top Goalscorer Giroud O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez-Pardo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Venezia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille 84 / 100
Venezia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille Venezia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venezia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Lille's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Venezia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lille VS Venezia
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille

(Home)
20 Sept
Nice
2 : 1
Lille
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0
Troyes
08 Sept
Lille
2 : 3
Betis
03 Sept
Toulouse
0 : 1
Lille
28 Aug
Lille
2 : 2
PSG
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Venezia

(Away)
19 Sept
Venezia
0 : 2
Lazio
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
28 Aug
AC Milan
2 : 0
Venezia
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