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Lille W vs Grenoble W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
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Match Events

19' Event
Belhout-Achi L.
68' Event
Gras G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Lille W
20%
Draws
30%
Grenoble W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Grenoble W lately — more wins on the board than Lille W.
  • Win probability leans Lille W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lille W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Lille W Clean Sheet 68%
Grenoble W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille W Grenoble W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Grenoble W
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Lille W
1:2
Jan 26, 2020 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Lille W
1:2
Sep 22, 2019 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Grenoble W
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Belhout-Achi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Grenoble W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gras G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille W 77 / 100
Grenoble W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille W Grenoble W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenoble W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Lille W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Lille W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lille W VS Grenoble W
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille W

(Home)
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
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Grenoble W

(Away)
27 Sept
Grenoble W
3 : 0
Cannes W
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Cannes W
5 : 1
Grenoble W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)