Sport Picks

France

Seconde Ligue Women Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Guingamp W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lille W play Guingamp W in the Seconde Ligue Women. Lille W are favorites here. Recently, Lille W averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Guingamp W averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. In past meetings, Lille W won 2, Guingamp W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Lille W and 1.13 for Guingamp W. This points to a Lille W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Lille W

15%

Draws

28%

Guingamp W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Lille W picked up more points recently compared to Guingamp W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Lille W Clean Sheet 21%

Guingamp W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lille W	Guingamp W
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	9	4
Draws	5	4
Losses	15	22
Goals Scored	1.31	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.55	2.3
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women

Lille W vs Guingamp W

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

4:0

Dec 21, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women

Guingamp W vs Lille W

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Jan 15, 2025 Coupe de France Women

Lille W vs Guingamp W

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Mar 2, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women

Lille W vs Guingamp W

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Nov 11, 2023 Premiere Ligue Women

Guingamp W vs Lille W

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugou P.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Da Rocha E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Guingamp W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille W 56 / 100

Guingamp W 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lille W Guingamp W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Lille W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lille W attacking → ← attacking Guingamp W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lille W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Guingamp W let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Lille W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Guingamp W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 16

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Toulouse W	22	15	4	3	48:21	49
2	Saint-Malo W	22	12	4	6	34:28	40
3	Le Mans W	22	12	3	7	28:20	39
4	Auxerre W	22	10	5	7	31:25	35
5	Grenoble W	22	9	7	6	31:24	34
6	Lille W	22	9	5	8	31:25	32
7	Thonon Evian W	22	9	4	9	35:29	31
8	Nice W	22	8	5	9	28:31	29
9	Reims W	22	7	6	9	26:33	27
10	Metz W	22	6	4	12	31:42	22
11	Rodez AF W	22	6	4	12	16:32	22
12	Guingamp W	22	2	3	17	17:46	9