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Lille W vs Guingamp W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
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Match Events

6' Event
Haugou P.
16' Event
Da Rocha E.
31' Event
Haugou P.

AI Match Summary

The Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between Lille W and Guingamp W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lille W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lille W
20%
Draws
0%
Guingamp W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Guingamp W haven't matched Lille W's recent run of results.
  • Lille W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Lille W Clean Sheet 20%
Guingamp W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille W Guingamp W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.3 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.78 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Guingamp W
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Lille W
1:0
Jan 15, 2025 Coupe de France Women
Lille W vs Guingamp W
4:1
Mar 2, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Lille W vs Guingamp W
0:2
Nov 11, 2023 Premiere Ligue Women
Guingamp W vs Lille W
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lille W Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugou P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Da Rocha E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.89

Guingamp W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille W 85 / 100
Guingamp W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille W Guingamp W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lille W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guingamp W conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Guingamp W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Lille W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lille W VS Guingamp W
1 Goals Scored 0.57
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.57
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille W

(Home)
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
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Guingamp W

(Away)
15 Aug
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Guingamp W
24 May
Guingamp W
1 : 3
Auxerre W
17 May
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Guingamp W
02 May
Guingamp W
2 : 3
Grenoble W
26 Apr
Lille W
4 : 0
Guingamp W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)