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Lille W vs Lens W

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Lens W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lille W
30%
Draws
31%
Lens W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lille W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Lens W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lille W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Lens W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lens W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lille W Clean Sheet 10%
Lens W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lille W Lens W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.28 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Coupe de la Ligue Women
Lille W vs Lens W
0:2
Feb 2, 2025 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs Lille W
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Seconde Ligue Women
Lille W vs Lens W
0:3
Aug 23, 2023 Club Friendly Women
Lille W vs Lens W
3:0
May 21, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Lens W vs Lille W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lille W 40 / 100
Lens W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lille W Lens W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lille W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Lens W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Lille W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lille W VS Lens W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lille W

(Home)
26 Sept
Strasbourg W
4 : 3
Lille W
20 Sept
Nice W
0 : 0
Lille W
13 Sept
Lille W
2 : 2
Bourges 18 W
06 Sept
Lille W
3 : 2
Auxerre W
29 Aug
Nice W
3 : 2
Lille W
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Lens W

(Away)
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
29 Aug
Lens W
3 : 0
Metz W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Metz W 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
3 Strasbourg W 4 2 0 2 4:9 6
4 Auxerre W 4 1 0 3 9:9 3
5 Reims W 4 0 0 4 1:15 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thonon Evian W 3 3 0 0 4:2 8
2 Nice W 3 1 0 2 5:2 4
3 St Etienne W 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Grenoble W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marseille W 3 3 0 0 7:4 8
2 Montpellier W 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toulouse W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Rodez AF W 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lens W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Fleury 91 W 3 2 0 1 10:4 6
3 Le Mans W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
4 Lille W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nantes W 3 3 0 0 9:3 8
2 Le Havre W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Saint-Malo W 3 1 0 2 6:5 4
4 Guingamp W 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)