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Lillehammer vs Ottestad

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 9
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 9 game between Lillehammer and Ottestad finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lillehammer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Lillehammer
15%
Draws
21%
Ottestad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillehammer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lillehammer come out ahead of Ottestad on wins alone.
  • Lillehammer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lillehammer Clean Sheet 19%
Ottestad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillehammer Ottestad
Matches Played 43 42
Wins 27 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 26
Goals Scored 2.93 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 9
Ottestad vs Lillehammer
0:4
Jul 2, 2016 Division 3 - Group 9
Lillehammer vs Ottestad
3:2
Jul 12, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Ottestad vs Lillehammer
3:0
Apr 21, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillehammer vs Ottestad
2:3
Aug 9, 2013 Division 3 - Group 3
Ottestad vs Lillehammer
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillehammer 85 / 100
Ottestad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillehammer Ottestad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillehammer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillehammer's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Ottestad let in goals in 98% of their last 42 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Lillehammer stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillehammer VS -
3.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillehammer

(Home)
30 Aug
Elverum
4 : 3
Lillehammer
22 Aug
Lillehammer
2 : 4
Strommen
17 Aug
Lillehammer
4 : 1
Lyn 2
08 Aug
Gjovik-Lyn
0 : 2
Lillehammer
01 Aug
Lillehammer
2 : 1
Drobak-Frogn
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Ottestad

(Away)
19 May
Elverum
2 : 1
Ottestad
01 May
Ottestad
0 : 1
Ham-Kam
27 Oct
Ottestad
1 : 0
Tynset
20 Oct
Brumunddal
4 : 0
Ottestad
13 Oct
Orkla
4 : 0
Ottestad
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