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Lillestrom 2 vs Fauske Sprint

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Andersen L.
42' Event
Hansen E.
67' Event
Haga O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Lillestrom 2 and Fauske Sprint finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fauske Sprint.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lillestrom 2
15%
Draws
59%
Fauske Sprint
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fauske Sprint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Fauske Sprint haven't matched Lillestrom 2's recent run of results.
  • Lillestrom 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Fauske Sprint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom 2 Fauske Sprint
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 1 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 3.14 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.55 3.28
Expected Goals (xG) 3.44 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Fauske Sprint
2:4
Jun 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Fauske Sprint vs Lillestrom 2
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andersen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haga O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.65
Avg xA / game 1.72

Fauske Sprint Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansen E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Korsvik H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 2 83 / 100
Fauske Sprint 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom 2 Fauske Sprint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fauske Sprint let in goals in 100% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.

Lillestrom 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom 2 VS Fauske Sprint
3.25 Goals Scored 3
3.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Lillestrom 2
3 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
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Fauske Sprint

(Away)
04 Oct
Skjervoy
3 : 0
Fauske Sprint
27 Sept
Fauske Sprint
0 : 3
Tromso 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Fauske Sprint
5 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
05 Sept
Ulfstind
1 : 6
Fauske Sprint
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