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Lillestrom 2 vs Finnsnes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Arntsen A.
55' Event
Bendiksen M.
(Penalty)
76' Event
Flogum H.

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom 2 in this Division 3 - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lillestrom 2
20%
Draws
40%
Finnsnes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillestrom 2 lately — more wins on the board than Finnsnes.
  • Lillestrom 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom 2 Finnsnes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 1 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 3.14 1.72
Goals Conceded 2.55 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Finnsnes vs Lillestrom 2
0:1
May 3, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Finnsnes
3:2
Sep 1, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Finnsnes
1:2
May 12, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Lillestrom 2
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arntsen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fadil W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Finnsnes Compare

Top Goalscorer Flogum H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 2 83 / 100
Finnsnes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom 2 Finnsnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Finnsnes conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Finnsnes lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom 2 VS Finnsnes
3.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Lillestrom 2
3 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
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Finnsnes

(Away)
03 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Finnsnes
26 Sept
Finnsnes
2 : 0
Skjervoy
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
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