Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lillestrom 2 vs Finnsnes

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Arntsen A.
55' Event
Bendiksen M.
(Penalty)
76' Event
Flogum H.

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom 2 in this Division 3 - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Lillestrom 2
11%
Draws
9%
Finnsnes
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillestrom 2 lately — more wins on the board than Finnsnes.
  • Lillestrom 2 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • Finnsnes have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom 2 Finnsnes
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 1 2
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 3 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Finnsnes
3:2
Sep 1, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Finnsnes
1:2
May 12, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Lillestrom 2
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arntsen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fadil W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Finnsnes Compare

Top Goalscorer Flogum H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 2 74 / 100
Finnsnes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom 2 Finnsnes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Finnsnes conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Lillestrom 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom 2 VS Finnsnes
3 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom 2

(Home)
28 Jun
Lillestrom 2
5 : 3
Tromso 2
20 Jun
Lillestrom 2
10 : 1
Ulfstind
14 Jun
Fauske Sprint
4 : 3
Lillestrom 2
30 May
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Alta
26 May
Stromsgodset 2
1 : 3
Lillestrom 2
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Finnsnes

(Away)
28 Jun
Alta
3 : 0
Finnsnes
20 Jun
Finnsnes
5 : 1
Fauske Sprint
14 Jun
Bossekop
1 : 1
Finnsnes
31 May
Finnsnes
1 : 0
Kongsvinger 2
25 May
Ulfstind
1 : 3
Finnsnes
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