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Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Woxen H.
(Penalty)
42' Event
Sorensen L.
50' Event
Woxen H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Lillestrom 2 and Harstad finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harstad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lillestrom 2
20%
Draws
57%
Harstad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Harstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Harstad come out ahead of Lillestrom 2 on wins alone.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Harstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom 2 Harstad
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 1 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 3.14 2.83
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad
3:4
May 9, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Harstad vs Lillestrom 2
2:3
Oct 16, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Lillestrom 2
4:3
May 26, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad
2:0
Oct 6, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Harstad
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Woxen H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Strom F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Harstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansen N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sorensen L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 2 30 / 100
Harstad 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom 2 Harstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Harstad has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Lillestrom 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom 2 VS Harstad
3.25 Goals Scored 3.38
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Lillestrom 2
3 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
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Harstad

(Away)
04 Oct
Harstad
2 : 2
Skedsmo
27 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
2 : 1
Harstad
19 Sept
Harstad
3 : 1
Skjetten
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
06 Sept
Tromso 2
0 : 1
Harstad
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