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Lillestrom 2 vs Ullern 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Folstad L.
Own Goal
47' Event
Furaha E. S.
52' Event
Slordahl P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2023 game between Lillestrom 2 and Ullern 2 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lillestrom 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Lillestrom 2
15%
Draws
36%
Ullern 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lillestrom 2 come out ahead of Ullern 2 on wins alone.
  • Lillestrom 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 15%
Ullern 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom 2 Ullern 2
Matches Played 33 26
Wins 16 5
Draws 1 1
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 3.15 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.52 3.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Lillestrom 2 vs Ullern 2
4:0
May 28, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern 2 vs Lillestrom 2
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Furaha E. S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Slordahl P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.27

Ullern 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 2 84 / 100
Ullern 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom 2 Ullern 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 scored in 94% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Ullern 2 conceded in 85% of 26 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Ullern 2's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom 2 VS -
3.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom 2

(Home)
04 Oct
Lillestrom 2
3 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
27 Sept
Alta
8 : 3
Lillestrom 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
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Ullern 2

(Away)
29 Oct
Stabaek 2
5 : 0
Ullern 2
22 Oct
Ullern 2
1 : 4
Skjetten
14 Oct
Skedsmo
8 : 0
Ullern 2
08 Oct
Ullern 2
4 : 0
Gneist IL
02 Oct
Lillestrom 2
4 : 0
Ullern 2
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