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Lillestrom vs Torreense

Europe Europe

Europa League Åråsen Stadion, Lillestrøm
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Alfaro A.
Assist: David Bruno
49' Event
Pozo M.
Assist: Vazquez J.
51'
Pozo M.

AI Match Summary

Torreense in this Europa League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torreense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Lillestrom
20%
Draws
38%
Torreense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lillestrom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Torreense lately — more wins on the board than Lillestrom.
  • Model gives Lillestrom a 42% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 18%
Torreense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lillestrom Torreense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 3 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Europa League
Lillestrom vs Torreense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lillestrom Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Torreense Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfaro A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pozo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lillestrom 40 / 100
Torreense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lillestrom Torreense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lillestrom stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Torreense let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lillestrom VS Torreense
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lillestrom

(Home)
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
12 Sept
Lillestrom
2 : 0
Valerenga
05 Sept
Brann
1 : 2
Lillestrom
02 Sept
Aurskog/Finstadbru
0 : 3
Lillestrom
30 Aug
Lillestrom
1 : 4
Fredrikstad
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Torreense

(Away)
17 Sept
Lillestrom
1 : 2
Torreense
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
29 Aug
Torreense
0 : 3
Vizela
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2
Torreense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Crystal Palace 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
3 Sparta Prague 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
4 Besiktas 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
5 Royale Union SG 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
6 Ferencvaros 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
7 Benfica 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Bayer Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 OFI Crete 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
10 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
11 Lyon 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
12 Torreense 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
13 Olympiacos Piraeus 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
14 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
15 Sunderland 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
16 Omonia 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
17 Sturm Graz 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rennes 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
19 Din. Zagreb 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
20 H. Beer Sheva 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
21 Jagiellonia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
22 Real Sociedad 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
23 Anderlecht 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
24 Lillestrom 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
25 Celta Vigo 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
26 AZ Alkmaar 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
27 Levski Sofia 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
28 Celtic 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
29 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
30 AC Milan 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
31 Celje 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
32 Marseille 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
33 Ararat-Armenia 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
34 Plzen 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
35 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
36 Nijmegen 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)