Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Heggheim H.
31'
31'
Askildsen K.
Assist: Austbo E.
46'
46'
Sub
Heggheim H. In: Bjorshol S.
Out: Heggheim H.
AI Match Summary
Viking in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Viking.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
33%
27%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lillestrom
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Viking lately — more wins on the board than Lillestrom.
- Win probability leans Lillestrom's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Viking here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Lillestrom Clean Sheet 68%
Viking Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lillestrom | Viking |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 22 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Viking
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Viking
1:4
May 16, 2024 Eliteserien
Viking vs Lillestrom
1:4
Aug 13, 2023 Eliteserien
Lillestrom vs Viking
1:3
Apr 15, 2023 Eliteserien
Viking vs Lillestrom
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lillestrom Compare
Top Goalscorer Ranger L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Viking Compare
Top Goalscorer Askildsen K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Christiansen P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lillestrom 50 / 100
Viking 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lillestrom Viking
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Lillestrom scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Viking conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Lillestrom went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lillestrom VS Viking
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lillestrom
(Home) 22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2 Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1 KFUM Oslo
11 Jul
Fredrikstad
0 : 2 Lillestrom
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3 Degerfors
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2 Viking
18 Jul
Lillestrom
2 : 1 KFUM Oslo
03 Jul
Lillestrom
3 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
26 Jun
Lillestrom
2 : 3 Degerfors
20 May
Lillestrom
1 : 2 Kristiansund
Page 1 of 4
Viking
(Away) 26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1 Viking
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2 Viking
18 Jul
Viking
2 : 1 Sandefjord
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0 Viking
03 Jul
Sonderjyske
1 : 1 Viking
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Aalesund
1 : 1 Viking
22 Jul
Lillestrom
1 : 2 Viking
12 Jul
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 0 Viking
03 Jul
Sonderjyske
1 : 1 Viking
24 May
Kristiansund
1 : 2 Viking
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37:11 | 35 |
| 2 | Viking | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34:14 | 34 |
| 3 | Tromso | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 31 |
| 4 | Lillestrom | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Molde | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Sarpsborg 08 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Valerenga | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Brann | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 30:25 | 19 |
| 9 | Rosenborg | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 18 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:26 | 18 |
| 11 | Sandefjord | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:20 | 15 |
| 12 | Fredrikstad | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:27 | 14 |
| 13 | Aalesund | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19:29 | 13 |
| 14 | KFUM Oslo | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | 12 |
| 15 | Kristiansund | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 16 | Start | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16:34 | 10 |
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
