Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache

Limache

4 - 1

San Marcos de Arica

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Maidana A.

24'

Sub

Rojas J. In: Molina B.

Out: Rojas J.

25'

Moya Godoy M.

Assist: Barrios A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Limache

15%

Draws

34%

San Marcos de Arica

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Limache

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

San Marcos de Arica haven't matched Limache's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Limache have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Limache, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Limache have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Limache Clean Sheet 20%

San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Limache	San Marcos de Arica
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	10	9
Draws	6	9
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.67	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Copa Chile

Limache vs San Marcos de Arica

4:1

Jun 20, 2026 Copa Chile

San Marcos de Arica vs Limache

1:3

Oct 5, 2024 Liga de Ascenso

San Marcos de Arica vs Limache

0:2

May 21, 2024 Liga de Ascenso

Limache vs San Marcos de Arica

1:3

Sep 25, 2022 Segunda Division

Limache vs San Marcos de Arica

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limache Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro D.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Arturia M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

San Marcos de Arica Compare

Top Goalscorer Moya Godoy M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limache 31 / 100

San Marcos de Arica 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Limache San Marcos de Arica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Limache Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Limache scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

San Marcos de Arica has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Limache stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Limache VS San Marcos de Arica

1.63 Goals Scored 0.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Limache

(Home)

14 Sept

Union La Calera

1 : 0

Limache

07 Sept

Limache

3 : 0

Cobresal

03 Sept

Limache

2 : 0

Nublense

29 Aug

Limache

0 : 3

Everton

22 Aug

Huachipato

1 : 3

Limache

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San Marcos de Arica

(Away)

13 Sept

San Marcos de Arica

3 : 0

Curico Unido

09 Sept

Recoleta

2 : 1

San Marcos de Arica

06 Sept

San Marcos de Arica

2 : 1

Copiapo

01 Sept

Cobreloa

2 : 0

San Marcos de Arica

22 Aug

San Marcos de Arica

1 : 2

Rangers

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