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Limavady vs Carrick Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Limavady Showgrounds, Limavady
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Lecky A. In: O'Conchubhair D.
Out: Lecky A.
38' Event
Heatley P.
42' Event
Steele A.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership game between Limavady and Carrick Rangers finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carrick Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Limavady
15%
Draws
8%
Carrick Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Limavady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Carrick Rangers's 2 goals per match outpaces what Limavady have produced (1.29).
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Limavady taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Carrick Rangers have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Limavady Clean Sheet 12%
Carrick Rangers Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limavady Carrick Rangers
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.29 2
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Limavady vs Carrick Rangers
1:2
Jul 16, 2022 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Carrick Rangers
0:1
Dec 26, 2018 NIFL Championship
Carrick Rangers vs Limavady
3:1
Aug 31, 2018 NIFL Championship
Limavady vs Carrick Rangers
2:1
Feb 22, 2014 NIFL Championship
Carrick Rangers vs Limavady
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limavady Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaston A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Carrick Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Heatley P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Steele A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limavady 83 / 100
Carrick Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limavady Carrick Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Limavady Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carrick Rangers let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Limavady went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Carrick Rangers lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Limavady VS Carrick Rangers
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Limavady

(Home)
26 Sept
Limavady
1 : 0
Cliftonville
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Limavady
3 : 1
Bangor FC
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

Carrick Rangers

(Away)
26 Sept
Glentoran
2 : 0
Carrick Rangers
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
12 Sept
Carrick Rangers
1 : 3
Cliftonville
05 Sept
Linfield
1 : 0
Carrick Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 9 7 1 1 19:8 22
2 Linfield 9 7 1 1 12:6 22
3 Larne 6 5 1 0 12:3 16
4 Crusaders 9 5 0 4 15:14 15
5 Glentoran 9 4 1 4 13:10 13
6 Dungannon 8 4 1 3 9:8 13
7 Cliftonville 9 4 0 5 12:11 12
8 Carrick Rangers 9 3 1 5 11:15 10
9 Ballymena 8 2 3 3 12:11 9
10 Limavady 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
11 Bangor FC 9 1 2 6 8:19 5
12 Portadown 9 0 1 8 5:19 1
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)