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Limavady vs Linfield

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup
Limavady Logo

Limavady

1 - 0
FT
Linfield Logo

Linfield

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
McNickle R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Limavady
20%
Draws
40%
Linfield
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Medium Confidence
  • Limavady have won more games recently than Linfield.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Limavady have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Linfield, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Linfield have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Limavady Clean Sheet 20%
Linfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limavady Linfield
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Limavady vs Linfield
0:1
Feb 6, 2026 Irish Cup
Limavady vs Linfield
1:0
Jan 1, 2008 NIFL Premiership
Limavady vs Linfield
0:4
Sep 29, 2007 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Limavady
3:0
Jan 31, 2007 NIFL Premiership
Linfield vs Limavady
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limavady Compare

Top Goalscorer McNickle R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Linfield Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limavady 32 / 100
Linfield 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limavady Linfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Limavady scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Linfield conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Limavady went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Limavady VS Linfield
1 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Limavady

(Home)
01 Aug
Limavady
1 : 0
Strabane Athletic
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Linfield
18 Jul
Limavady
2 : 1
Institute
11 Jul
Limavady
0 : 0
Ballinamallard
07 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

Linfield

(Away)
28 Jul
Dollingstown
1 : 7
Linfield
24 Jul
Limavady
0 : 1
Linfield
18 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Doncaster
16 Jul
Linfield
2 : 2
Kalju
11 Jul
Linfield
0 : 2
Aberdeen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD -
Loughgall -
Wakehurst 2
Knockbreda 4
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Newbuildings 1
Moyola 2
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Comber Rec 3
Hanover 1
Ballymacash 4
Willowbank 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Armagh -
TBD -
Newry City 1
Drumaness 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Finaghy FC 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Limavady -
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers 5
Dergview 4
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Loughgall 2
Knockbreda 0
Ballinamallard 0
Institute 3
Cliftonville 3
Dundela 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Portadown 4
Annagh 2
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Moyola 2
Harland & Wolff 4
Comber Rec 0
Ballymacash 3
Strabane Athletic 0
Glentoran 4
Armagh 1
Drumaness 4
Lisburn Distillery 3
Warrenpoint 4
Ballymena 1
Larne 2
Limavady 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Linfield 1
Bangor FC 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Queens University 1
Coleraine 4
Crusaders 0
1/8-finals
Loughgall 2
Institute 1
Cliftonville 2
Glenavon 1
Portadown 1
Dungannon 2
Harland & Wolff 3
Ballymacash 0
Glentoran 5
Drumaness 0
Warrenpoint 0
Larne 2
Limavady 1
Linfield 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 4
Quarter-finals
Loughgall 0
Cliftonville 3
Dungannon 3
Harland & Wolff 0
Glentoran 1
Larne 2
Limavady 0
Coleraine 2
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2
Larne 1
Coleraine 2
Final
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 3