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Limavady vs Lurgan Celtic

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bradley J.
12' Event
Hume R.
39' Event
Hume R.

AI Match Summary

Limavady in this NIFL Championship 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Limavady.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Limavady
15%
Draws
21%
Lurgan Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Limavady

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lurgan Celtic haven't matched Limavady's recent run of results.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2017/2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Limavady Clean Sheet 20%
Lurgan Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limavady Lurgan Celtic
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 1.55 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2018 NIFL Championship
Limavady vs Lurgan Celtic
6:0
Apr 17, 2018 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Limavady
0:3
Oct 28, 2017 NIFL Championship
Lurgan Celtic vs Limavady
3:3
Aug 25, 2017 NIFL Championship
Limavady vs Lurgan Celtic
2:3
Dec 13, 2008 Irish Cup
Limavady vs Lurgan Celtic
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Limavady Compare

Top Goalscorer Hume R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bradley J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Lurgan Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limavady 31 / 100
Lurgan Celtic 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limavady Lurgan Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Limavady Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lurgan Celtic has conceded goals in 96% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Limavady scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Limavady went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Limavady VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Limavady

(Home)
26 Sept
Limavady
1 : 0
Cliftonville
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Limavady
3 : 1
Bangor FC
12 Sept
Crusaders
1 : 2
Limavady
05 Sept
Limavady
0 : 2
Dungannon
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Lurgan Celtic

(Away)
27 Aug
Crusaders
:
Lurgan Celtic
17 Aug
Hanover
:
Lurgan Celtic
03 Nov
Lurgan Celtic
2 : 3
Portstewart
29 Sept
Lurgan Celtic
:
St. Patricks Young
28 Aug
Ballinamallard
4 : 1
Lurgan Celtic
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Larne 32 12 11 9 59:47 47
8 PSNI 32 11 8 13 55:50 41
9 Limavady 32 10 7 15 52:58 37
10 Knockbreda 32 9 9 14 50:54 36
11 Dergview 32 9 9 14 49:59 36
12 Lurgan Celtic 32 3 7 22 32:102 16
Relegation - NIFL Championship 2017/2018 (Relegation)