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Limavady vs Rathfriland Rangers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup
Tue, Nov 24, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Irish League Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Rathfriland Rangers have shipped 2.04 goals a game lately, while Limavady have conceded 1.19 and scored 1.59. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.25) point toward Limavady. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Limavady
15%
Draws
49%
Rathfriland Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rathfriland Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Limavady come out ahead of Rathfriland Rangers on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Limavady have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Limavady Clean Sheet 19%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limavady Rathfriland Rangers
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 2 0
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.59 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limavady 32 / 100
Rathfriland Rangers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limavady Rathfriland Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rathfriland Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rathfriland Rangers has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Limavady's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Limavady has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Rathfriland Rangers registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Limavady VS Rathfriland Rangers
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Limavady

(Home)
20 Oct
Annagh
3 : 4
Limavady
17 Oct
Glentoran
1 : 0
Limavady
10 Oct
Limavady
3 : 2
Ballymena
03 Oct
Portadown
3 : 1
Limavady
26 Sept
Limavady
1 : 0
Cliftonville
Page 1 of 6

Rathfriland Rangers

(Away)
20 Oct
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Ards
17 Oct
Dundela
0 : 1
Rathfriland Rangers
09 Oct
Rathfriland Rangers
2 : 1
Armagh
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Institute 0
Loughgall 3
Ballinamallard 1
Queens University 2
Annagh 3
Limavady 4
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ards 0
Dundela 1
Moyola 4
Newington FC 1
Ballymena 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC 1
Dungannon 2
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers 3
Newry City 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Glenavon 5
Armagh 1
Harland & Wolff 3
TBD -
Linfield -
1/8-finals
Warrenpoint -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
Queens University -
Limavady -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Moyola -
Ballymena -
Glentoran -
Larne -
Dungannon -
Coleraine -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
Linfield -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -