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Limerick vs Tolka

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Limerick advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Limerick
15%
Draws
51%
Tolka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tolka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Limerick come out ahead of Tolka on wins alone.
  • Tolka are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Limerick have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Limerick, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Limerick Clean Sheet 18%
Tolka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limerick Tolka
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.65 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2010 FAI Cup
Limerick vs Tolka
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limerick 28 / 100
Tolka 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limerick Tolka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Limerick's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Tolka's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Limerick VS Tolka
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Limerick

(Home)
21 Sept
Shelbourne
7 : 0
Limerick
16 Sept
Galway United
3 : 2
Limerick
13 Sept
Limerick
4 : 1
Wexford
24 Aug
Sligo Rovers
6 : 2
Limerick
16 Aug
Limerick
1 : 1
Athlone
Page 1 of 7

Tolka

(Away)
19 Jul
Derry City
3 : 0
Tolka
16 May
Fairview Rangers
0 : 3
Tolka
18 Jul
Galway United
2 : 0
Tolka
18 May
Tolka
3 : 1
Janesboro
21 Aug
Tolka
0 : 4
Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Glenville 1
Bohemians 7
Dublin Bus 0
Shelbourne 2
Drogheda 1
UC Dublin 2
Bray 4
Derry City 3
Finn Harps 3
Crumlin Utd 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Athlone 0
Cork City 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Monaghan United 3
Carlow 2
Longford 1
Waterford 0
Shamrock Rovers 5
Wexford 1
Galway United 5
Malahide United 0
Tullamore 1
Salthill 3
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 1
Belgrove 2
Avondale United 1
Limerick 3
Tolka 1
Mervue United 1
Sporting Fingal 5
1/8-finals
Bohemians 1
Shelbourne 0
UC Dublin 2
Bray 3
Finn Harps 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Cork City 0
Monaghan United 1
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Galway United 4
Salthill 2
St. Patricks 2
Belgrove 0
Limerick 2
Sporting Fingal 3
Quarter-finals
Bohemians 3
Bray 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Monaghan United 0
Shamrock Rovers 6
Galway United 0
St. Patricks 3
Sporting Fingal 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
St. Patricks 2
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Shamrock Rovers 0