Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Limon Black Star vs Aserri

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Sun, Oct 26, 2025
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Limon Black Star host Aserri in the Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Aserri have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Limon Black Star have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.8. Past meetings favor Aserri slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Aserri to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Limon Black Star
25%
Draws
35%
Aserri
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Limon Black Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aserri lately — more wins on the board than Limon Black Star.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Limon Black Star Clean Sheet 20%
Aserri Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Limon Black Star Aserri
Matches Played 10 27
Wins 5 6
Draws 3 11
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.8 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Aserri
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Limon Black Star vs Aserri
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Limon Black Star
0:0
Apr 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Limon Black Star
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Limon Black Star 32 / 100
Aserri 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Limon Black Star Aserri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aserri conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Aserri's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Limon Black Star VS Aserri
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Limon Black Star

(Home)

Aserri

(Away)
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter San Carlos 14 9 3 2 22:12 30
2 ADR Jicaral 14 7 5 2 23:11 26
3 Quepos FC 14 5 5 4 18:17 20
4 Cofutpa 14 5 3 6 23:24 18
5 AD Sarchi 14 4 6 4 15:17 18
6 Dep. Upala 14 4 4 6 22:23 16
7 Santa Cruz 14 3 4 7 10:20 13
8 Grecia 14 3 2 9 22:31 11
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 9 4 1 31:18 31
2 FC Moravia 14 7 4 3 25:18 25
3 Cariari Pococi 14 4 6 4 25:18 18
4 Carmelita 14 4 6 4 14:14 18
5 Santa Ana 14 4 6 4 16:17 18
6 CS Uruguay 14 3 5 6 15:24 14
7 Pitbulls 14 2 6 6 10:15 12
8 Aserri 14 3 3 8 11:23 12
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Apertura - Play Offs)