Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Linares vs CD Estepona

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Linarejos, Linares
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Diaz H.
17' Event
Contreras A.
45' Event
Velazquez D.

AI Match Summary

CD Estepona in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Estepona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Linares
30%
Draws
41%
CD Estepona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Estepona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • CD Estepona have won more games recently than Linares.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Linares Clean Sheet 17%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linares CD Estepona
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Linares
1:4
Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs CD Estepona
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Linares
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs CD Estepona
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
CD Estepona vs Linares
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Linares Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velazquez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

CD Estepona Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Herrero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linares 31 / 100
CD Estepona 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linares CD Estepona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Linares scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: CD Estepona conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Linares went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Linares VS CD Estepona
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Linares

(Home)
26 Sept
Betis B
4 : 0
Linares
20 Sept
Linares
0 : 1
Las Palmas B
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1
Linares
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CD Estepona

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Don Benito
27 Sept
Tenerife B
2 : 1
CD Estepona
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)