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Linares vs Puente Genil

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal de Linarejos, Linares
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Menudo
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 game between Linares and Puente Genil finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linares.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Linares
20%
Draws
42%
Puente Genil
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Puente Genil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Linares come out ahead of Puente Genil on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Linares Clean Sheet 16%
Puente Genil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Linares Puente Genil
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs Puente Genil
1:0
Dec 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Puente Genil vs Linares
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Linares 36 / 100
Puente Genil 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Linares Puente Genil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Puente Genil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Linares found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Puente Genil has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Linares stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Linares VS Puente Genil
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Linares

(Home)
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1
Linares
08 Aug
Dos Hermanas
0 : 1
Linares
01 Aug
Linares
0 : 2
Jaen
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Puente Genil

(Away)
13 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Puente Genil
06 Sept
Puente Genil
4 : 0
Mijas Las Lagunas
29 Aug
Pozoblanco
1 : 3
Puente Genil
03 May
La Union (Malacitano)
1 : 0
Puente Genil
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1
Malaga B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)