Sport Picks

England

League One 2025/2026 LNER stadium

Lincoln City

1 - 0

AFC Wimbledon

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Johnson R. In: Nkeng R.

Out: Johnson R.

52'

Hackett-Fairchild R.

59'

Lewis J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lincoln City in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lincoln City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Lincoln City

Draws

AFC Wimbledon

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lincoln City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Lincoln City lately — more wins on the board than AFC Wimbledon.
Model gives Lincoln City a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Lincoln City Clean Sheet 20%

AFC Wimbledon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lincoln City	AFC Wimbledon
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	23	8
Draws	6	5
Losses	0	16
Goals Scored	2.25	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.88	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 League One

Lincoln City vs AFC Wimbledon

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Aug 9, 2025 League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Lincoln City

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

2:0

Mar 12, 2022 League One

AFC Wimbledon vs Lincoln City

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

0:2

Oct 19, 2021 League One

Lincoln City vs AFC Wimbledon

Possession: 53% - 53% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

May 9, 2021 League One

Lincoln City vs AFC Wimbledon

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lincoln City Compare

Top Goalscorer One R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

AFC Wimbledon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln City 85 / 100

AFC Wimbledon 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lincoln City AFC Wimbledon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lincoln City scored in 100% of their last 29 outings.

AFC Wimbledon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Lincoln City stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: AFC Wimbledon has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln City VS AFC Wimbledon

2.25 Goals Scored 0.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lincoln City	46	31	10	5	89:41	103
2	Cardiff	46	27	10	9	90:50	91
3	Stockport County	46	22	11	13	71:58	77
4	Bradford City	46	22	11	13	58:51	77
5	Bolton	46	19	18	9	70:52	75
6	Stevenage	46	21	12	13	49:46	75
7	Luton	46	21	11	14	68:56	74
8	Plymouth	46	22	7	17	75:63	73
9	Huddersfield	46	18	13	15	74:64	67
10	Mansfield	46	16	17	13	62:50	65
11	Wycombe	46	17	12	17	69:58	63
12	Reading	46	16	15	15	64:60	63
13	Blackpool	46	17	9	20	54:65	60
14	Doncaster	46	17	9	20	50:69	60
15	Barnsley	46	15	14	17	68:73	59
16	Wigan	46	14	14	18	49:58	56
17	Burton	46	13	15	18	50:60	54
18	Peterborough	46	15	8	23	64:68	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	15	8	23	51:72	53
20	Leyton Orient	46	14	10	22	59:71	52
21	Exeter	46	12	13	21	52:61	49
22	Port Vale	46	10	12	24	36:61	42
23	Rotherham	46	10	11	25	41:71	41
24	Northampton	46	9	8	29	39:74	35