Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 LNER stadium, Lincoln

Lincoln City

3 - 0

Notts County

Our Tip

Match Events

Bradley S.

Assist: Reach A.

43'

House B.

58'

House B.

Assist: Ring E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Lincoln City advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Lincoln City

30%

Draws

29%

Notts County

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lincoln City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Notts County haven't matched Lincoln City's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
Lincoln City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Lincoln City, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Lincoln City here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Lincoln City Clean Sheet 20%

Notts County Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lincoln City	Notts County
Matches Played	29	26
Wins	18	9
Draws	4	7
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	1.59	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.31
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 EFL Trophy

Lincoln City vs Notts County

3:0

Nov 7, 2023 EFL Trophy

Lincoln City vs Notts County

2:0

Aug 8, 2023 EFL Cup

Notts County vs Lincoln City

0:2

Feb 2, 2019 League Two

Notts County vs Lincoln City

1:1

Aug 25, 2018 League Two

Lincoln City vs Notts County

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lincoln City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bradley S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader House B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Notts County Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln City 32 / 100

Notts County 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lincoln City Notts County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lincoln City found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Notts County has conceded goals in 73% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Lincoln City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln City VS Notts County

1.13 Goals Scored 1

1 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln City

(Home)

19 Sept

Lincoln City

1 : 2

Swansea

15 Sept

Bristol City

0 : 1

Lincoln City

12 Sept

Preston

0 : 1

Lincoln City

08 Sept

Bournemouth

4 : 0

Lincoln City

05 Sept

Lincoln City

1 : 1

Southampton

Page 1 of 6

Notts County

(Away)

22 Sept

Notts County

2 : 1

Grimsby

19 Sept

Reading

2 : 0

Notts County

12 Sept

Notts County

0 : 1

Bradford City

05 Sept

Huddersfield

1 : 1

Notts County

01 Sept

Doncaster

1 : 1

Notts County

Page 1 of 6