Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lincoln City vs Stockport County

England England

League One 2025/2026 LNER stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Moylan J.
Assist: Bradley S.
14'
Towler R.
57'
Sub
Olowu J. In: Diamond J.
Out: Olowu J.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Lincoln City and Stockport County finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lincoln City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lincoln City
17%
Draws
13%
Stockport County
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lincoln City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Lincoln City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lincoln City a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Lincoln City Clean Sheet 68%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lincoln City Stockport County
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 23 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 0 9
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 League One
Lincoln City vs Stockport County
3:1
Dec 26, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Lincoln City
1:2
Apr 26, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Lincoln City
3:2
Oct 26, 2024 League One
Lincoln City vs Stockport County
2:1
Jul 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Lincoln City vs Stockport County
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lincoln City Compare

Top Goalscorer Moylan J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Darikwa T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Stockport County Compare

Top Goalscorer Diamond J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln City 77 / 100
Stockport County 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lincoln City Stockport County

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lincoln City scored in 100% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Lincoln City has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Stockport County conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln City VS Stockport County
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City463110589:41103
2Cardiff462710990:5091
3Stockport County4622111371:5877
4Bradford City4622111358:5177
5Bolton461918970:5275
6Stevenage4621121349:4675
7Luton4621111468:5674
8Plymouth462271775:6373
9Huddersfield4618131574:6467
10Mansfield4616171362:5065
11Wycombe4617121769:5863
12Reading4616151564:6063
13Blackpool461792054:6560
14Doncaster461792050:6960
15Barnsley4615141768:7359
16Wigan4614141849:5856
17Burton4613151850:6054
18Peterborough461582364:6853
19AFC Wimbledon461582351:7253
20Leyton Orient4614102259:7152
21Exeter4612132152:6149
22Port Vale4610122436:6142
23Rotherham4610112541:7141
24Northampton46982939:7435