Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lincoln Utd. vs Dunkirk

England England

FA Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lincoln Utd. in this FA Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 6-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lincoln Utd.
15%
Draws
28%
Dunkirk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln Utd.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lincoln Utd. lately — more wins on the board than Dunkirk.
  • Model gives Lincoln Utd. a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Lincoln Utd. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lincoln Utd., who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lincoln Utd. Clean Sheet 15%
Dunkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lincoln Utd. Dunkirk
Matches Played 30 8
Wins 8 1
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.47 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2016 FA Cup
Lincoln Utd. vs Dunkirk
6:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln Utd. 84 / 100
Dunkirk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lincoln Utd. Dunkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lincoln Utd. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkirk let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Lincoln Utd.'s goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dunkirk's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln Utd. VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln Utd.

(Home)
29 Aug
Lincoln Utd.
1 : 2
Nuneaton
10 Jul
Lincoln Utd.
2 : 1
Lincoln City U23
07 Jul
Basford Utd.
4 : 3
Lincoln Utd.
20 Sept
Lincoln Utd.
0 : 2
Malvern Town
06 Sept
Coventry Sphinx
0 : 2
Lincoln Utd.
Page 1 of 6

Dunkirk

(Away)
02 Sept
AFC Mansfield
4 : 0
Dunkirk
03 Sept
Lincoln Utd.
6 : 1
Dunkirk
26 Sept
Stourbridge
3 : 1
Dunkirk
12 Sept
Belper Town
1 : 3
Dunkirk
19 Aug
Dunkirk
2 : 3
Shepshed
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Fylde -
Harlow 3
Romford 1
Brigg Town 1
King’s Lynn 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
United of Manchester -
TBD -
Billingham Synthonia FC 4
Ossett Town 5
Bridlington Town 2
Newcastle Benfield 0
TBD -
Harrogate -
Stalybridge -
TBD -
Buxton 0
Witton Albion 3
Ashton Athletic 7
Mossley AFC 2
TBD -
Halifax -
Stockport County -
TBD -
Colne 0
Hyde 1
Bradford PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Salford -
Farsley 3
Sheffield FC 0
Pontefract Collieries 2
Tadcaster Albion 3
Trafford 5
Cheadle Town 2
Ossett Albion 1
Bishop Auckland 5
Barrow -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Tranmere -
Halesowen 3
Coleshill Town 0
Hednesford 1
Belper Town 2
Marine 2
Marske United 0
Ashton United 0
Nantwich 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 6
Ashby Ivanhoe 0
Evesham 2
Barwell 4
Mickleover 3
Spalding United 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Stourbridge 3
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Blyth Spartans 3
Frickley 1
Colwyn Bay 1
Morpeth 4
Matlock 4
Heanor Town 2
Stafford 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Shildon 5
Washington 2
Warrington Town 0
Workington 3
Lincoln City -
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Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 6
Dunkirk 1
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Burscough 4
Maine Road 3
Squires Gate 2
Handsworth Parramore 5
Chorley -
TBD -
Skelmersdale 3
Dunston 4
Whitby 5
Winsford United 4
Radcliffe 3
Spennymoor 5
Stamford 5
Neots 2
Deeping Rangers 2
Gresley 6
Coalville Town 2
Redditch 1
Stratford 1
AFC Mansfield 2
TBD -
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Wrexham -
York City -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Bedworth United 2
Coventry United 0
Grantham Town 3
Chasetown 4
Consett 5
Harrogate Railway 0
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Welling -
TBD -
Ramsgate 1
Whyteleafe 2
Farnborough 5
Andover Town 0
Portishead Town 1
Swindon Supermarine 4
Merthyr Town 4
Barnstaple Town 0
Bideford 1
Portchester 2
East Thurrock Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Westfields 4
St Ives Town 0
Leamington 1
Highgate United 3
Hythe 1
Leatherhead 0
Greenwich Borough 2
Walton Casuals 3
Hungerford -
TBD -
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 0
Basingstoke 4
South Park 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Grays 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
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Forest Green -
Chesham 5
Saffron 0
Lewes 1
Sevenoaks 2
Maidenhead -
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Godalming Town 0
Staines 4
Potters 3
Chalfont St Peter 0
Dunstable Town 1
Canvey Island 2
Oxford City -
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Bath City -
Dagenham & Red. -
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Banbury 3
Dorchester 0
Gillingham Town 0
Cirencester 2
Histon 2
Lowestoft 0
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Wealdstone -
Torquay -
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Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Cinderford Town 0
Fleet Town 1
Slimbridge 2
AFC Dunstable 4
Heybridge 3
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Hampton & Richmond -
Gloucester City -
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Frome Town 0
Salisbury 2
Herne Bay 3
Ashford Town 1
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Hemel Hempstead -
Braintree -
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Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 7
Wantage 2
Haringey Borough 0
FC Witham Town 3
Stortford -
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Tilbury 1
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Worcester -
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Telford -
Rugby 1
Corby 0
TBD -
Brackley -
Tonbridge 9
Ascot United 2
Waltham Abbey 0
Wingate & Finchley 5
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Eynesbury Rovers 1
Romulus 1
Hereford 4
Slough Town 6
Chipstead 1
Flackwell Heath 1
Cambridge City 3
Chelmsford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Faversham 1
Cray Wanderers 0
Biggleswade United 2
Hitchin 4
VCD Athletic 4
Kingstonian 1
Arundel FC 1
Egham Town 5
Worthing FC 9
Carshalton 5
Sun Sports 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Dereham 2
Holbeach 1
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St. Albans -
Boreham Wood -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Hornchurch 0
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Concord Rangers -
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Pagham 0
Cheshunt 2
Hendon 5
Aldershot -
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TBD -
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Eastbourne Borough -
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Hounslow United 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Kings Langley 6
Sporting Bengal 1
London Colney 0
Hadley 1
Harrow Borough 4
Sawbridgeworth 1
Needham Market 0
Uxbridge 2
Truro -
TBD -
Street 2
Winchester City 4
Margate -
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Maldon & Tiptree 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Barton 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Camberley Town 0
Hastings 2
Maidstone -
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Chippenham Town 9
Moneyfields 0
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Poole Town -
Bognor Regis 5
Guildford City 1
Brightlingsea 1
Billericay 2
Kidderminster -
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Tamworth -
Darlington FC -
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Brighouse Town 0
Lancaster 3
Brimscombe & Thrupp 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 0
Hamworthy United 2
Brislington 5
Gosport Borough -
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Paulton Rovers 1
Weymouth 2
Solihull Moors -
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Boston United -
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Hinckley LR 2
Kirby Muxloe 3
Rushall 3
Soham 2
Leek Town 2
Kettering 3
Burgess Hill 2
Ashford United 1
Harefield United 2
Kempston 3
Alresford Town 5
Fareham 3
Plymouth Parkway 0
Cadbury Heath 3
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Dover Ath. -
Merstham 4
East Preston 1
Eastbourne Town 0
Colliers Wood 2
Hanwell Town 1
Enfield Town 0
Chertsey Town 0
Thamesmead 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Sholing 0
Eastbourne United 0
Highworth 3
Sudbury 6
Halstead Town 0
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Ebbsfleet -
Eastleigh -
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Folkestone 3
North Greenford Utd. 1
Stotfold 1
Walthamstow FC 2
Weston-super-Mare -
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Corinthian-Casuals 2
North Leigh 3
Quarter-finals
Southport -
TBD -
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Chester -
Alfreton 1
AFC Fylde 0
Harlow 0
King’s Lynn 1
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TBD -
Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
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TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
United of Manchester 7
Ossett Town 1
Bridlington Town 3
Harrogate 4
Stalybridge 3
Witton Albion 2
Ashton Athletic 0
Halifax 5
Stockport County 2
Hyde 0
Bradford PA 0
Salford 1
Farsley 2
Tadcaster Albion 0
Trafford 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Barrow -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Halesowen 1
Belper Town 0
Marine 4
Nantwich 5
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Barwell 0
Mickleover 1
Stourbridge 2
Altrincham 3
Gainsborough 2
Blyth Spartans 2
Morpeth 4
Matlock 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Shildon 1
Workington 3
Lincoln City -
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Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 2
Nuneaton 1
Burscough 0
Handsworth Parramore 2
Chorley 2
Dunston 0
Whitby 0
Spennymoor 1
Stamford 2
Gresley 1
Coalville Town 0
AFC Mansfield 1
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TBD -
Wrexham -
York City -
TBD -
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TBD -
Bedworth United 1
Chasetown 0
Consett 1
Curzon Ashton 2
Welling 2
Whyteleafe 0
Farnborough 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Merthyr Town 2
Portchester 0
East Thurrock Utd 2
Whitehawk 3
Westfields 4
Highgate United 2
Hythe 2
Walton Casuals 4
Hungerford 1
Basingstoke 0
South Park 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
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Forest Green -
Chesham 4
Sevenoaks 3
Maidenhead 0
Staines 1
Potters 5
Canvey Island 4
Oxford City 2
Bath City 3
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
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Banbury 6
Cirencester 1
Histon 0
Wealdstone 4
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Slimbridge 0
AFC Dunstable 1
Hampton & Richmond 7
Gloucester City 2
Salisbury 1
Herne Bay 2
Hemel Hempstead 6
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 3
FC Witham Town 1
Stortford 1
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Worcester 3
Telford 1
Rugby 0
Brackley 6
Tonbridge 3
Wingate & Finchley 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Hereford 3
Slough Town 3
Cambridge City 1
Chelmsford 2
Dartford 3
Faversham 3
Hitchin 2
VCD Athletic 1
Egham Town 2
Worthing FC 2
Hayes & Yeading 0
Dereham 1
St. Albans 2
Boreham Wood -
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TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Concord Rangers 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Hendon 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
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TBD -
Eastbourne Borough 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Kings Langley 1
Hadley 2
Harrow Borough 2
Uxbridge 1
Truro 0
Winchester City 4
Margate 2
Biggleswade Town 0
Barton 0
Hastings 1
Maidstone -
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TBD -
Chippenham Town 4
Poole Town 1
Bognor Regis 1
Billericay 2
Kidderminster 4
Tamworth 0
Darlington FC 1
Lancaster 2
Brimscombe & Thrupp 2
Brislington 1
Gosport Borough 2
Weymouth 3
Solihull Moors -
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TBD -
Boston United 2
Kirby Muxloe 1
Rushall 1
Kettering 2
Burgess Hill 4
Kempston 2
Alresford Town 1
Cadbury Heath 3
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TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Merstham 2
Colliers Wood 1
Hanwell Town 3
Thamesmead 5
Havant & Waterlooville 5
Highworth 1
Sudbury 0
Ebbsfleet 5
Eastleigh -
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TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone 3
Walthamstow FC 1
Weston-super-Mare 1
North Leigh 2
Semi-finals
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Alfreton 2
King’s Lynn 0
TBD -
Gateshead -
North Ferriby United -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
United of Manchester 3
Harrogate 5
Stalybridge 1
Halifax 2
Stockport County 2
Salford 0
Farsley 0
Bishop Auckland 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Halesowen 2
Nantwich 3
Ilkeston F.C. (inactive) 1
Stourbridge 2
Altrincham 3
Morpeth 0
Matlock 4
Workington 2
Lincoln City -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley -
Lincoln Utd. 3
Handsworth Parramore 1
Chorley 0
Spennymoor 1
Stamford 2
AFC Mansfield 1
TBD -
Wrexham -
York City -
TBD -
Bedworth United 0
Curzon Ashton 4
Welling 7
Swindon Supermarine 1
Merthyr Town 0
Whitehawk 2
Westfields 4
Walton Casuals 0
Hungerford 1
Leiston 4
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Chesham 2
Staines 0
Potters 2
Bath City 1
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
Banbury 1
Wealdstone 2
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Taunton Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 1
Gloucester City 2
Hemel Hempstead 4
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Beaconsfield Town 3
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Worcester 0
Brackley 3
Tonbridge 4
Hereford 2
Slough Town 2
Dartford 3
Faversham 1
Egham Town 2
Worthing FC 0
St. Albans 6
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Hendon 3
Aldershot -
TBD -
Eastbourne Borough 4
Hadley 1
Harrow Borough 2
Winchester City 1
Margate 4
Hastings 3
Maidstone -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 2
Billericay 3
Kidderminster 3
Lancaster 2
Brimscombe & Thrupp 0
Weymouth 6
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Boston United 0
Kettering 2
Burgess Hill 6
Cadbury Heath 1
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Merstham 5
Thamesmead 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Ebbsfleet 7
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Folkestone 1
North Leigh 3
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Southport 1
Chester 0
Alfreton 5
Gateshead 4
North Ferriby United 1
Macclesfield 4
Harrogate 0
Halifax 2
Stockport County 2
Bishop Auckland 0
Barrow 2
Tranmere 1
Nantwich 1
Stourbridge 3
Altrincham 3
Matlock 1
Lincoln City 2
Guiseley 1
Lincoln Utd. 0
Spennymoor 3
Stamford 4
Wrexham 3
York City 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Welling 0
Whitehawk 1
Westfields 2
Leiston 1
Sutton 2
Forest Green 1
Chesham 1
Potters 0
Dagenham & Red. 3
Wealdstone 1
Torquay 2
Woking 3
Taunton Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 0
Braintree 4
Bromley 2
Beaconsfield Town 0
Brackley 5
Tonbridge 0
Dartford 3
Egham Town 0
St. Albans 1
Boreham Wood 3
Hendon 0
Aldershot 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Harrow Borough 5
Margate 3
Maidstone 3
Billericay 1
Kidderminster 6
Weymouth 0
Solihull Moors 3
Kettering 1
Burgess Hill 0
Dover Ath. 5
Merstham 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Eastleigh 6
North Leigh 0