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Lincoln Utd. vs Gainsborough

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Wright A.
(Penalty)
20' Event
Wright A.
35' Event
Cursons T.

AI Match Summary

Gainsborough in this Club Friendly 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gainsborough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lincoln Utd.
15%
Draws
46%
Gainsborough
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gainsborough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gainsborough lately — more wins on the board than Lincoln Utd..
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Lincoln Utd. Clean Sheet 13%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lincoln Utd. Gainsborough
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Lincoln Utd. vs Gainsborough
2:3
Jul 6, 2019 Club Friendly
Gainsborough vs Lincoln Utd.
1:1
Aug 11, 2018 Club Friendly
Lincoln Utd. vs Gainsborough
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lincoln Utd. Compare

Top Goalscorer Park J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Gainsborough Compare

Top Goalscorer Wright A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cursons T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln Utd. 30 / 100
Gainsborough 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lincoln Utd. Gainsborough

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lincoln Utd. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gainsborough let in goals in 82% of their last 33 matches.

Lincoln Utd. found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Lincoln Utd. has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lincoln Utd. VS Gainsborough
2 Goals Scored 1
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln Utd.

(Home)
29 Aug
Lincoln Utd.
1 : 2
Nuneaton
10 Jul
Lincoln Utd.
2 : 1
Lincoln City U23
07 Jul
Basford Utd.
4 : 3
Lincoln Utd.
20 Sept
Lincoln Utd.
0 : 2
Malvern Town
06 Sept
Coventry Sphinx
0 : 2
Lincoln Utd.
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Gainsborough

(Away)
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2
Avro
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4
Gainsborough
31 Aug
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2
Gainsborough
25 Aug
Quorn
2 : 2
Gainsborough
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