Sport Picks

England

Women’s FA Cup 2023/2024

Lincoln W

1 - 5

Derby W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Derby W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%

Lincoln W

15%

Draws

42%

Derby W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lincoln W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Derby W come out ahead of Lincoln W on wins alone.
Derby W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Derby W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Derby W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Lincoln W Clean Sheet 20%

Derby W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lincoln W	Derby W
Matches Played	11	34
Wins	5	12
Draws	0	4
Losses	6	18
Goals Scored	1.73	1.32
Goals Conceded	2.91	1.74
Expected Goals (xG)	1.60	1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2023 Women’s FA Cup

Lincoln W vs Derby W

1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lincoln W 16 / 100

Derby W 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lincoln W Derby W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Lincoln W scored in 64% of their last 11 games.

Derby W let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Away concern: Derby W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Derby W

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 2

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln W

(Home)

03 Nov

Rugby Borough W

7 : 0

Lincoln W

12 Nov

Lincoln W

1 : 5

Derby W

30 Jan

Liverpool W

6 : 0

Lincoln W

12 Dec

Lincoln W

4 : 2

Northampton W

05 Dec

Leafield Athletic W

2 : 3

Lincoln W

Page 1 of 3

Derby W

(Away)

20 Sept

Peterborough W

0 : 3

Derby W

13 Sept

Huddersfield W

2 : 1

Derby W

30 Aug

Derby W

1 : 0

Middlesbrough W

23 Aug

Derby W

0 : 1

Rugby Borough W

16 Aug

Liverpool Feds W

5 : 1

Derby W

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Gwalia United W 0

Cheltenham W 3

Helston Athletic W 0

Exeter W 8

TBD -

Reading W -

York City W 0

United of Manchester W 2

Hull City W 3

Halifax W 1

Wolverhampton W 8

Stourbridge W 0

Wroxham W 1

Peterborough W 2

Thetford W 2

Enfield Town W 4

Harpenden Town W 0

Luton W 3

Bristol Rovers W 3

Portishead Town W 1

Marine Academy Plymouth W 3

Keynsham Town W 4

TBD -

Brighton W -

Sunderland W -

TBD -

Barnsley W 0

Liverpool Feds W 3

AFC Fylde W 0

Durham Cestria W 1

Chesham W 2

Ebbsfleet W 3

Fulham W 1

Portsmouth W 9

TBD -

Southampton FC W -

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Wigan W 0

Chorley W 4

Mancunian Unity W 2

Newcastle Utd W 9

Stoke City LFC W 6

Dunton & Broughton Utd W 0

York Railway Institute W 0

Stockport W 3

Plymouth W 13

Ilminster W 0

Sticker W 0

AFC Stoneham W 4

Woodley United W 0

Oxford Utd W 4

Dartford W 3

Abingdon W 1

Nottingham W 7

Sheffield FC W 0

Sporting Khalsa W 3

Crewe W 0

Norwich W 1

Hashtag W 0

Boldmere St Michaels W 13

Wyberton Wildcats W 0

Aston Villa W -

TBD -

Everton W -

Chelsea W -

TBD -

West Ham W -

Crystal Palace W -

TBD -

Haywards Heath W 2

Chatham W 4

Saltdean United W 1

AFC Wimbledon W 2

Leeds Modernians W 2

AFC Darwen W 4

West Didsbury & Chorlton W 2

Leeds W 6

TBD -

Blackburn W -

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Doncaster W 0

Rugby Borough W 2

Leek Town W 1

Solihull Moors W 4

TBD -

Sheffield Utd W -

Northampton W 0

Ipswich W 6

Sutton Coldfield Town W 8

Chesterfield W 0

TBD -

Lewes W -

Swindon W 6

Sherborne Town W 0

Bournemouth W 5

Bridgwater W 0

TBD -

Charlton W -

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Southampton Women's W 4

Brentford W 3

Sutton W 3

Maidenhead W 4

TBD -

Watford W -

West Brom W 8

Lye Town W 2

Dussindale & Hellesdon W 3

Needham Market W 4

TBD -

Durham W -

TBD -

Manchester City W -

London City Lionesses W -

TBD -

Real Bedford W 0

Billericay W 5

Dulwich Hamlet W 2

London Bees W 0

Hertford Town W 1

Haringey Borough W 3

Moneyfields W 6

Ashford Town W 3

Denham United W 2

Millwall W 3

Bromley W 3

Portchester W 2

Bristol City W -

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Norton & Stockton W 0

Chester-Le-Street Town W 1

Blackpool W 0

Spennymoor W 1

Lincoln W 1

Derby W 5

Lincoln Utd. W 1

Loughborough Lightning W 2

TBD -

Leicester W -

Beaumont Park W 0

Leafield Athletic W 4

Coundon Court W 3

Leamington Lions W 0

Burnley W 2

Huddersfield W 1

Gateshead W 1

Alnwick Town W 2

Rotherham W 0

Worcester W 5

Cambridge Utd W 1

Milton Keynes Dons W 2

TBD -

Birmingham W -

1/64-finals

Cheltenham W 3

Exeter W 2

TBD -

Reading W -

United of Manchester W 2

Hull City W 3

Wolverhampton W 7

Peterborough W 0

Enfield Town W 3

Luton W 5

Bristol Rovers W 1

Keynsham Town W 2

TBD -

Brighton W -

Sunderland W -

TBD -

Liverpool Feds W 0

Durham Cestria W 1

Ebbsfleet W 0

Portsmouth W 7

TBD -

Southampton FC W -

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Chorley W 0

Newcastle Utd W 5

Stoke City LFC W 1

Stockport W 0

Plymouth W 4

AFC Stoneham W 2

Oxford Utd W 2

Dartford W 0

Nottingham W 3

Sporting Khalsa W 2

Norwich W 1

Boldmere St Michaels W 2

Aston Villa W -

TBD -

Everton W -

Chelsea W -

TBD -

West Ham W -

Crystal Palace W -

TBD -

Chatham W 5

AFC Wimbledon W 4

AFC Darwen W 2

Leeds W 1

TBD -

Blackburn W -

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Rugby Borough W 7

Solihull Moors W 1

TBD -

Sheffield Utd W -

Ipswich W 8

Sutton Coldfield Town W 0

TBD -

Lewes W -

Swindon W 1

Bournemouth W 2

TBD -

Charlton W -

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Southampton Women's W 3

Maidenhead W 0

TBD -

Watford W -

West Brom W 3

Needham Market W 0

TBD -

Durham W -

TBD -

Manchester City W -

London City Lionesses W -

TBD -

Billericay W 2

Dulwich Hamlet W 1

Haringey Borough W 1

Moneyfields W 3

Millwall W 2

Bromley W 0

Bristol City W -

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Chester-Le-Street Town W 3

Spennymoor W 2

Derby W 4

Loughborough Lightning W 1

TBD -

Leicester W -

Leafield Athletic W 1

Coundon Court W 2

Burnley W 9

Alnwick Town W 1

Worcester W 0

Milton Keynes Dons W 3

TBD -

Birmingham W -

1/32-finals

Cheltenham W 0

Reading W 4

Hull City W 1

Wolverhampton W 4

Luton W 1

Keynsham Town W 0

TBD -

Brighton W -

Sunderland W 7

Durham Cestria W 0

Portsmouth W 1

Southampton FC W 2

Manchester United W -

TBD -

Newcastle Utd W 5

Stoke City LFC W 0

Plymouth W 3

Oxford Utd W 2

Nottingham W 3

Boldmere St Michaels W 1

Aston Villa W -

TBD -

Everton W -

Chelsea W -

TBD -

West Ham W -

Crystal Palace W 6

Chatham W 0

AFC Darwen W 0

Blackburn W 4

Tottenham W -

TBD -

Rugby Borough W 2

Sheffield Utd W 3

Ipswich W 3

Lewes W 0

Bournemouth W 0

Charlton W 6

Arsenal W -

TBD -

Southampton Women's W 1

Watford W 6

West Brom W 0

Durham W 5

TBD -

Manchester City W -

London City Lionesses W 6

Billericay W 0

Moneyfields W 1

Millwall W 0

Bristol City W -

TBD -

Liverpool W -

Chester-Le-Street Town W 1

Derby W 5

TBD -

Leicester W -

Coundon Court W 0

Burnley W 11

Milton Keynes Dons W 0

Birmingham W 2

1/16-finals

Reading W 1

Wolverhampton W 2

Luton W 0

Brighton W 6

Sunderland W 0

Southampton FC W 2

Manchester United W 5

Newcastle Utd W 0

Plymouth W 1

Nottingham W 6

Aston Villa W 0

Everton W 3

Chelsea W 3

West Ham W 1

Crystal Palace W 3

Blackburn W 1

Tottenham W 3

Sheffield Utd W 2

Ipswich W 1

Charlton W 4

Arsenal W 5

Watford W 1

Durham W 0

Manchester City W 4

London City Lionesses W 4

Moneyfields W 0

Bristol City W 0

Liverpool W 1

Derby W 0

Leicester W 4

Burnley W 1

Birmingham W 3

1/8-finals

Wolverhampton W 1

Brighton W 4

Southampton FC W 1

Manchester United W 3

Nottingham W 1

Everton W 7

Chelsea W 1

Crystal Palace W 0

Tottenham W 1

Charlton W 0

Arsenal W 0

Manchester City W 1

London City Lionesses W 0

Liverpool W 2

Leicester W 6

Birmingham W 2

Quarter-finals

Brighton W 0

Manchester United W 4

Everton W 0

Chelsea W 1

Tottenham W 2

Manchester City W 1

Liverpool W 0

Leicester W 2

Semi-finals

Manchester United W 2

Chelsea W 1

Tottenham W 2

Leicester W 1

Final

Manchester United W 4

Tottenham W 0

Lincoln W vs Derby W

England

Lincoln W

Derby W

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Lincoln W

Derby W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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